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User:Conservative/Forecasting (view source)
Revision as of 02:50, April 25, 2024
, 02:50, April 25, 2024→Great book on forecasting
'''3.''' [[Political betting markets]] have better accuracy than polls and pundits.
'''3.''' [[Political betting markets]] have better accuracy than polls and pundits.
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[[File:Superforecasters.png|right|500px|thumbnail|[https://goodjudgment.com/ The Good Judgment Project] (started in 2011) indicates that well-chosen selected amateur forecasters who demonstrate their ability to accurately forecast are often more accurate than subject matter experts.<ref>"[https://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21666098-forecasting-talent-luckily-it-can-be-learned-unclouded-vision Unclouded vision]". ''The Economist''. September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 26, 2015.</ref>]]
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==References==
==References==
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