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Nate Silver, the founder of ''FiveThirtyEight'' who is independent of it now, has his own prediction model for the 2024 presidential election.
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{{cquote|These graphs represent the distribution of outcomes from 14,000,605 simulations of the Electoral College vote for Joe Biden and Donald Trump.<ref name="H">https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/</ref>}}
 
{{cquote|These graphs represent the distribution of outcomes from 14,000,605 simulations of the Electoral College vote for Joe Biden and Donald Trump.<ref name="H">https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/</ref>}}
 
''The Hill'' gives Trump a 56% chance of winning the presidency, as of June 15, 2024, and predicts an Electoral College result of 279 votes for Trump and only 259 for Biden.<ref name="H"/>
 
''The Hill'' gives Trump a 56% chance of winning the presidency, as of June 15, 2024, and predicts an Electoral College result of 279 votes for Trump and only 259 for Biden.<ref name="H"/>
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== Nate Silver ==
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Nate Silver, the founder of ''FiveThirtyEight'' who is independent of it now, has his own prediction model for the [[2024 presidential election]].<ref>https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model</ref>
 
== References ==
 
== References ==
 
{{reflist}}
 
{{reflist}}
 
[[category:elections]]
 
[[category:elections]]
 
[[category:politics]]
 
[[category:politics]]
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