"Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1] | "Russia faces a 40% chance of a major economic downturn (recession) within 18 months: 30% for a mild recession starting Q4 2025–Q2 2026, and 10% for a severe collapse by mid-2026, driven by high interest rates, sanctions, and oil price risks; 60% likelihood of stagnation with near-zero growth but no deep crisis."[https://grok.com/share/c2hhcmQtNA%3D%3D_488d7af4-f1f4-4e3d-979a-7f78280a25d1] |