Changes

On July 24, 2019, due to religious immigration to the United States and the [[Atheism and fertility rates|higher fertility rate of religious people]], [[Eric Kaufmann]] wrote in an article entitled ''Why Is [[Secularization]] Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose'': "Overall, the picture suggests that the U.S. will continue to secularize in the coming decades. However, a combination of religious immigration, immigrant religious retention, slowing religious decline due to a rising prevalence of believers among the affiliated, and higher native religious birth rates will result in a plateauing of secularizing trends by mid-century." <ref>[https://ifstudies.org/blog/why-is-secularization-likely-to-stall-in-america-by-2050-a-response-to-laurie-derose Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose] by Eric Kaufmann July 24, 2019</ref>  

On July 24, 2019, due to religious immigration to the United States and the [[Atheism and fertility rates|higher fertility rate of religious people]], [[Eric Kaufmann]] wrote in an article entitled ''Why Is [[Secularization]] Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose'': "Overall, the picture suggests that the U.S. will continue to secularize in the coming decades. However, a combination of religious immigration, immigrant religious retention, slowing religious decline due to a rising prevalence of believers among the affiliated, and higher native religious birth rates will result in a plateauing of secularizing trends by mid-century." <ref>[https://ifstudies.org/blog/why-is-secularization-likely-to-stall-in-america-by-2050-a-response-to-laurie-derose Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose] by Eric Kaufmann July 24, 2019</ref>  

Darel E. Paul wrote at the [[First Things]] website:

In 2019, Darel E. Paul wrote at the [[First Things]] website:

{{Cquote|Even without demographic models, survey data since the 1970s show that the percentage of Americans with a “strong” religious affiliation has not declined at all; it is the “weak” that have turned into “[[nones]].” Moreover, immigration brings primarily religious people from the Global South into the Global North. In his earlier book, Kaufmann predicted that America’s secular high-water mark will occur around 2030; in Western Europe, no later than 2070. In Kaufmann’s view, religious identity will largely overpower ethnic identity a century hence, “with seculars and moderates of all backgrounds lining up against the fundamentalist sects.”<ref>[https://www.firstthings.com/article/2019/11/the-future-is-mixed THE FUTURE IS MIXED] by Darel E. Paul, First Things website</ref>}}

{{Cquote|Even without demographic models, survey data since the 1970s show that the percentage of Americans with a “strong” religious affiliation has not declined at all; it is the “weak” that have turned into “[[nones]].” Moreover, immigration brings primarily religious people from the Global South into the Global North. In his earlier book, Kaufmann predicted that America’s secular high-water mark will occur around 2030; in Western Europe, no later than 2070. In Kaufmann’s view, religious identity will largely overpower ethnic identity a century hence, “with seculars and moderates of all backgrounds lining up against the fundamentalist sects.”<ref>[https://www.firstthings.com/article/2019/11/the-future-is-mixed THE FUTURE IS MIXED] by Darel E. Paul, First Things website</ref>}}