Changes

So now they’re having an argument. And in December, Admiral Alexander Moiseyev, the Russian naval commander, published a piece in a military magazine, ''Military Thought'' it’s called in English, arguing that you must have Russian naval protection to keep the trade routes open. Now, that’s easier said for the [[Arctic]] route because there’s a Russian shore, there are Russian bases. It’s not so easy to project Russian naval power far off Russian shores where the US has bases. And we’ve just seen a major interception and seizure of a vessel, not a Russian flagged vessel, in the [[Indian Ocean]]. The Americans, for the time, have been keeping it secret. It appears to have been in the western Indian Ocean and it takes a lot of effort for the [[US Navy]] and its shore bases—[[Singapore]], [[Diego Garcia]], and elsewhere—to mount these operations. However, it’s clear it’s a [[war]] against Russia at sea, it’s clear it’s got an [[economic]] target, and it’s clear that [[Dmitriev]] and that faction in Moscow have nothing to add to the defense and they don’t want their business-as-usual doctrine to be undermined if there’s a clash between Russian naval support for Russian flagged vessels.}}

So now they’re having an argument. And in December, Admiral Alexander Moiseyev, the Russian naval commander, published a piece in a military magazine, ''Military Thought'' it’s called in English, arguing that you must have Russian naval protection to keep the trade routes open. Now, that’s easier said for the [[Arctic]] route because there’s a Russian shore, there are Russian bases. It’s not so easy to project Russian naval power far off Russian shores where the US has bases. And we’ve just seen a major interception and seizure of a vessel, not a Russian flagged vessel, in the [[Indian Ocean]]. The Americans, for the time, have been keeping it secret. It appears to have been in the western Indian Ocean and it takes a lot of effort for the [[US Navy]] and its shore bases—[[Singapore]], [[Diego Garcia]], and elsewhere—to mount these operations. However, it’s clear it’s a [[war]] against Russia at sea, it’s clear it’s got an [[economic]] target, and it’s clear that [[Dmitriev]] and that faction in Moscow have nothing to add to the defense and they don’t want their business-as-usual doctrine to be undermined if there’s a clash between Russian naval support for Russian flagged vessels.}}

==Escalation: Maritime Strikes==

===Escalation: Maritime Strikes===

Ahead of Orthodox Easter, Russian President [[Vladimir Putin]] announced a [[ceasefire]] during the holiday. The temporary truce took effect at 4:00 p.m. on April 11, 2026 and end at the close of April 12, 2026. During this period, hostilities were suspended on all fronts, including deep strikes against Ukrainian energy and military infrastructure. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded clearly to this initiative. Kyiv used the lull on the front lines to its advantage, but the situation did not change [[strategically]]. Therefore, Ukraine was prepared to take the riskiest steps just to prolong the war.

Ahead of Orthodox Easter, Russian President [[Vladimir Putin]] announced a [[ceasefire]] during the holiday. The temporary truce took effect at 4:00 p.m. on April 11, 2026 and end at the close of April 12, 2026. During this period, hostilities were suspended on all fronts, including deep strikes against Ukrainian energy and military infrastructure. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded clearly to this initiative. Kyiv used the lull on the front lines to its advantage, but the situation did not change [[strategically]]. Therefore, Ukraine was prepared to take the riskiest steps just to prolong the war.

All ships trying to exit or reach Ukrainian harbors, [[Greater Odessa]], [[Mykolaiv]], and the [[Danube]] ports of Izmail & Reni came under attack. A missile and bombing campaign destroyed Ukrainian [[grain]] export terminals and other harbor installations. For all practical purpose the country is now land locked, strangling its agricultural and metallurgical sectors.<ref>https://biz.liga.net/en/industry/article/the-scale-of-the-damage-is-unprecedented-ukraine-could-lose-72-of-its-metallurgical-industry-what-are-the-consequences</ref> Import and exports earnings through the Greater Odessa ports funded two-thirds of the [[Kyiv regime]]'s budget not covered by Western assistance.<ref>https://ukraine-war-analytics.com/economy/odesa-port-exports.html</ref>

All ships trying to exit or reach Ukrainian harbors, [[Greater Odessa]], [[Mykolaiv]], and the [[Danube]] ports of Izmail & Reni came under attack. A missile and bombing campaign destroyed Ukrainian [[grain]] export terminals and other harbor installations. For all practical purpose the country is now land locked, strangling its agricultural and metallurgical sectors.<ref>https://biz.liga.net/en/industry/article/the-scale-of-the-damage-is-unprecedented-ukraine-could-lose-72-of-its-metallurgical-industry-what-are-the-consequences</ref> Import and exports earnings through the Greater Odessa ports funded two-thirds of the [[Kyiv regime]]'s budget not covered by Western assistance.<ref>https://ukraine-war-analytics.com/economy/odesa-port-exports.html</ref>

==NATO attacks from the Baltic States==

==NATO attacks from the Baltic States==