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Line 198: − Real Clear Politics, which uses the average of the Gallup, CNN, CBS, Cook Political Report, Rasmussen, IBD, and USA Today, has [[Barack Obama]] leading [[John McCain]] 47.1%-40.8%. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html]+ − − CNN's "Poll of Polls", an average of Gallup, LA Times, and Time Magazine, has [[Barack Obama|Obama]] leading [[John McCain|McCain]] 49%-41%.[http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/07/11/polls-obama-ahead-by-8/] − − In addition, Real Clear Politics uses the average of Rasmussen, CBS News, Pew Research and Newsweek to track favorable/unfavorable ratings for the two candidates. [[John McCain|McCain]] currently has a favorable/unfavorable rating of 55.2%-37.4%, a +17.8 spread.[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/mccain_favorableunfavorable-642.html] [[Barack Obama|Obama]] currently has a rating of 60.2%-33.0%, a +27.2 spread. [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/obama_favorableunfavorable-643.html]
United States Presidential Election, 2008 (view source)
Revision as of 15:40, July 16, 2008
, 15:40, July 16, 2008→Opinion polling
==Opinion polling==
==Opinion polling==
The largest polls, Rasmussen and Gallop, show Obama with leads of 3% and 4% respectively as of July 15th, 2008.<ref>http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll</ref>. Ramussen also finds the favorable rating for each candidate at 55%.
Most polling that has been done fails to include all the candidates who will actually be on the ballot in November. A Rasmussen poll on May 18, reported on a four-way race between Barack Obama, John McCain, Ralph Nader and Bob Barr. The poll, which was conducted before Barr became the Libertarian nominee and made a number of high-profile talk show appearances, found that Barr would finish in third place with 6% of the vote, and Nader with 4%.[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/will_third_party_candidates_tip_the_presidential_race] Another poll conducted around that time showed Barr picking up 8% of the vote in [[Georgia]].[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_520_404.aspx]
Most polling that has been done fails to include all the candidates who will actually be on the ballot in November. A Rasmussen poll on May 18, reported on a four-way race between Barack Obama, John McCain, Ralph Nader and Bob Barr. The poll, which was conducted before Barr became the Libertarian nominee and made a number of high-profile talk show appearances, found that Barr would finish in third place with 6% of the vote, and Nader with 4%.[http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/will_third_party_candidates_tip_the_presidential_race] Another poll conducted around that time showed Barr picking up 8% of the vote in [[Georgia]].[http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_520_404.aspx]