If there is merely a 5% chance that any of the foregoing counterexamples is correct, then the odds of at least one of them being correct is at least 49%.<ref>At 14 examples each with a 5% probability of being correct, then the odds of at least one being correct is 0.95<sup>14</sup> = 0.49 = 49%</ref> As the list grows longer, the odds of the theory of evolution being valid becomes vanishingly small. It then falls upon other origins theories to stand up to similar scrutiny until one is found which has the fewest holes.
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If there is merely a 5% chance that any of the foregoing counterexamples is correct, then the odds of at least one of them being correct is at least 49%.<ref>At 14 examples each with a 5% probability of being correct, then the odds of at least one being correct is 0.95<sup>14</sup> = 0.49 = 49%</ref> As the list grows longer, the odds of the theory of evolution being valid becomes vanishingly small.