Changes

Jump to navigation Jump to search
m
no edit summary
Line 1: Line 1:  
In [[Bayesian Probability]], '''Bayesian model selection''' is a method for choosing the best [[hypothesis]] or ''model class'' or [[mathematical model]] posed as a [[probabilistic likelihood model]] out of a set of competing model classes (loosely ''models'') which best explains some observed data. Best here is measured by the [[Bayesian posterior]] [[Bayes odds|odds]] ratio of the winner compared against all other candidates in the competition.   
 
In [[Bayesian Probability]], '''Bayesian model selection''' is a method for choosing the best [[hypothesis]] or ''model class'' or [[mathematical model]] posed as a [[probabilistic likelihood model]] out of a set of competing model classes (loosely ''models'') which best explains some observed data. Best here is measured by the [[Bayesian posterior]] [[Bayes odds|odds]] ratio of the winner compared against all other candidates in the competition.   
   −
The posterior [[Bayes odds|odds]] ratio is the product of the [[Bayes Factor]] and the [[Bayes prior]] odds ratio. In short one is comparing the [[marginal likelihood]] of entire families of models (i.e., parameterized model classes) by marginalizing over their associated parameter values.  After the model class has been so selected, one can then go on to do [[parameter estimation]] to determine the best inference as to the values of the parameters of that particular model class.
+
The posterior [[Bayes odds|odds]] ratio is the product of the [[Bayes Factor]] and the [[Bayes prior]] odds ratio. In short one is comparing the [[marginal likelihood]] of entire families of models (i.e., parameterized model classes) by [[marginal distribution|marginalizing]] over their associated parameter values.  After the model class has been so selected, one can then go on to do [[parameter estimation]] to determine the best inference as to the values of the parameters of that particular model class.
       
[[category:Probability]]
 
[[category:Probability]]
127

edits

Navigation menu