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| − | Applying the chi-square test to the Blount data violates the parameters under which the chi-square test produces accurate results. The number of 'expected mutants' is below one in all cells, and the chi-square test is not to be used when expected cell numbers are less than five. <ref>http://www.okstate.edu/ag/agedcm4h/academic/aged5980a/5980/newpage28.htm</ref> <ref>http://www.wellesley.edu/Psychology/Psych205/chisquareindep.html</ref><ref>http://www.graphpad.com/www/Book/Choose.htm</ref>
| + | The chi-square test p-values are computed by comparing the test statistic to the chi-square distribution. It is generally assumed that the cell frequencies should be greater than five so that the statistic's distribution follows chi-square distribution. However, there is no consensus about what minimum cell frequency is necessary or how many expected values need to cross that threshold. |
| − | The total number of mutants, four in the first replay and eight in the third, fall below the lower cutoff for the chi-square, which is not felt to produce reliable results for n of less than twenty.<ref>http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/PA765/chisq.htm</ref><ref>http://www.basic.northwestern.edu/statguidefiles/gf-dist_ass_viol.html</ref>
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| − | Under conditions of low n and low expected cell counts, the chi-square test is too conservative and results in estimated p-values that are too high.<ref>http://www.graphpad.com/www/Book/Choose.htm</ref><ref>http://mysite.du.edu/~jcalvert/econ/chisquar.htm</ref><ref>http://www.basic.northwestern.edu/statguidefiles/gf-dist_ass_viol.html</ref>
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| − | Furthermore, the chi-square test assumes that there are no relationships between categories; it should not be used when the same underlying population is tested repeatedly over time, as is done in the Blount experiment.<ref>http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/PA765/chisq.htm</ref><ref>http://www.okstate.edu/ag/agedcm4h/academic/aged5980a/5980/newpage28.htm
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| − | </ref> Thus the chi-square p-value of 0.004 calculated for replay experiment 2 cannot be interpreted as supporting Blount's conclusions, since this low p-value was derived through the inappropriate application of the test.
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| | ==References== | | ==References== |