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2010 Midterm Elections (view source)
Revision as of 01:28, September 11, 2009
, 01:28, September 11, 2009a start
Analyst Stuart Rothenberg is now reporting, "Growing public concern about spending, taxes and the size of government has started to shift the national landscape away from the Democrats to a more neutral position, and quite possibly toward the GOP."<ref>Stuart Rothenberg, "All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010," ''Roll Call'' Sept. 8, 2009] </ref>
Analyst Stuart Rothenberg is now reporting, "Growing public concern about spending, taxes and the size of government has started to shift the national landscape away from the Democrats to a more neutral position, and quite possibly toward the GOP."<ref>Stuart Rothenberg, "All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010," ''Roll Call'' Sept. 8, 2009] </ref>
==Notable House Races==
The following incumbent Congressman are considered the most vulnerable by non-partison political analysis.
*'''Bobby Bright (D) of Alabama's 2nd congressional district:'''
Freshman Democrat [[Bobby Bright]] was elected by a narrow 50%-49% margin. In contrast [[Republican]] [[John McCain]] defeated Democrat [[Barack Obama]] 63%-36% in the 2nd district in the [[2008 Presidential Election]]. Republicans are trying to recruit Montgomery city councilwoman Martha Roby to run. Congressman Bright has already raised $440,000 in preparation for a tough reelection campaign.
*'''Joseph Cao (R) of Louisiana's 2nd congressional district:'''
Republican [[Joseph Cao]] (pronounced Gow) defeated nine-term Democrat Congressman [[William J. Jefferson]] in a 2008 runoff election by a 49%-47% margin, after Jefferson had been indicted on federal charges of bribery and other corrupt acts. The district covers almost all of urban [[New Orleans]] and was ranked of having a 25 point advantage for Democrats by the Cook Partison Voting Index. State Rep. Cedric Richmond has announced his candidacy. When asked about his reelection, Cao said that political experts were proved wrong in 2008 and "I'm sure we'll prove them wrong again." <ref>The Almanac of American Politics, 2010</ref>
*'''Walt Minnick (D) of Idaho's 1st congressional district:'''
Minnick is a Democratic Representative from a conservative leaning district. He was elected in 2008 with 51% of the vote, compared to 62% that John McCain received. Republicans have already tied Minnick to unpopular House Speaker [[Nancy Pelosi]] and the Democrat controlled [[Congress]]. Former Marine Corps Major Vaughn Ward has already announced his candidacy. Other potential Republicans include Idaho House Majority Leader Ken Roberts, State Representative Raul Labrador and Attorney General Lawrence Wasden.
*'''Dave Reichert (R) of Washington's 8th congressional district:'''
Three-term Congressman Dave Reichert won two close victories in 2006 and 2008 against Democrat Darcy Burner. After Barack Obama won the congressional district by 14 percentage points in 2008, Democrats are hoping to make the race competitive by recruiting businesswoman Suzan DelBene.
*'''Frank Kratovil (D) of Maryland's 1st congressional district:'''
Frank Kratovil was elected in Maryland's strongly conservative 1st district by less than 1 percentage point in 2008, representing mush of eastern Maryland. This may be one of the Democrats most difficult seats to hold. John McCain won the 1st district by 18 percentage points, while Barack Obama won statewide by 25 points. State Senator Andy Harris is expected to seek a rematch in 2010, and has raised $210,000 for a potential campaign. State Senator E.J. Pipkin may also run.
==Senate==
==Senate==
[[File:Senate10.jpg|thumb|340px|CQ predictions, Sept. 2009]]
[[File:Senate10.jpg|thumb|340px|CQ predictions, Sept. 2009]]
The top Senate races are:<ref>See [http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/ for daily updates]; see also [http://innovation.cq.com/senate2010_map CQ Report]
The top Senate races are:<ref>See [http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/ for daily updates]; see also [http://innovation.cq.com/senate2010_map CQ Report]