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Given that Massachusetts is arguably the most [[liberal]] state in the country (the federal delegation has been entirely Democratic since 1997) the real race will likely be the Democrat primary, held on December 8, 2009. Candidates include State Attorney General Martha Coakley and businessman Alan Khazei. Representative Jim McGovern and Mike Capuano are probable candidates. On the Republican side, State Senator Scott Brown has declared his candidacy. Many high-profile Republicans have declined to run, such as former White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card, former Governor Mitt Romney, and former Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey. Former [[Boston]] [[Red Sox]] pitcher [[Curt Schilling]], who has [[conservative]]-leanings, may run as an [[independent]], since he is not registered in any political party.  
 
Given that Massachusetts is arguably the most [[liberal]] state in the country (the federal delegation has been entirely Democratic since 1997) the real race will likely be the Democrat primary, held on December 8, 2009. Candidates include State Attorney General Martha Coakley and businessman Alan Khazei. Representative Jim McGovern and Mike Capuano are probable candidates. On the Republican side, State Senator Scott Brown has declared his candidacy. Many high-profile Republicans have declined to run, such as former White House Chief of Staff Andrew Card, former Governor Mitt Romney, and former Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey. Former [[Boston]] [[Red Sox]] pitcher [[Curt Schilling]], who has [[conservative]]-leanings, may run as an [[independent]], since he is not registered in any political party.  
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Martha Coakley (D)
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! Scott Brown (R)
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|-
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|[http://suffolk.edu/37947.html Suffolk University]
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| 09/12 - 09/15
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| 500 RV
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| '''54'''
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| 24
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|}
      
*'''Texas'''
 
*'''Texas'''
   −
Senior Republican Senator [[Kay Bailey Hutchison]] has announced she will resign from the Senate in fall 2009 to pursue a campaign for Governor. As a result, Republican Governor [[Rick Perry]] must appoint a replacement, and under Texas law, a special election will be held on May 8th. The only announced Republican candidate is Texas Railroad Commissioner [[Michael Williams]]. Other possible GOP candidates include 6th district Representative Joe Barton, Lieutenant Governor [[David Dewhurst]], [[Dallas]] Mayor Tom Leppert, Former Texas Secretary of State Roger Williams, and State Senator Florence Shapiro. Former State Comptroller John Sharp and Houston Mayor Bill White have announced they will seek the Democrat nomination. Texas is considered a Republican state. In the [[2008 Presidential Election]], [[John McCain]] won it's 34 electoral votes by twelve percentage-points.
+
Senior Republican Senator [[Kay Bailey Hutchison]] has announced she will resign from the Senate in fall 2009 to pursue a campaign for Governor. As a result, Republican Governor [[Rick Perry]] must appoint a replacement, and under Texas law, a special election will be held on May 8th. The only announced Republican candidate is Texas Railroad Commissioner [[Michael Williams]]. Other possible GOP candidates include 6th district Representative Joe Barton, Lieutenant Governor [[David Dewhurst]], [[Dallas]] Mayor Tom Leppert, Former Texas Secretary of State Roger Williams, and State Senator Florence Shapiro. Former State Comptroller John Sharp and Houston Mayor Bill White have announced they will seek the Democrat nomination. Texas is considered a Republican stronghold. In the [[2008 Presidential Election]], [[John McCain]] won it's 34 electoral votes by twelve percentage-points.
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Sample
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! John Sharp (D)
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! David Dewhurst (R)
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|-
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|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
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| 02/24 - 03/06
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| 800
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| 33
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| '''34'''
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|-
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|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Texas_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
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| 02/18 - 02/20
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| 1,409 LV
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| 36
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| '''42'''
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|}
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Date
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! Sample
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! John Sharp (D)
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! Florence Shapiro (R)
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|-
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|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
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| 02/24 - 03/06
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| 500
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| '''32'''
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| 31
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|-
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|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Texas_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
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| 02/18 - 02/20
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| 1,409 LV
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| '''37'''
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| 34
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|}
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  −
{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Date
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! Sample
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! John Sharp (D)
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! Michael Williams (R)
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
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| 30
  −
| '''33'''
  −
|}
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  −
 
  −
{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Date
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! Sample
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! John Sharp (D)
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! Roger Williams (R)
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|-
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|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
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| 02/24 - 03/06
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| 500
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| 29
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| '''33'''
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|}
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Polling Outfit
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! Date
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! Sample
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! Bill White (D)
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! David Dewhurst (R)
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|-
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|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
  −
| '''38'''
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| 36
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Texas_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  −
| 02/18 - 02/20
  −
| 1,409 LV
  −
| '''42'''
  −
| 37
  −
|}
  −
 
  −
{| class="wikitable"
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|-
  −
! Polling Outfit
  −
! Date
  −
! Sample
  −
! Bill White (D)
  −
! David Dewhurst (R)
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
  −
| '''38'''
  −
| 36
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Texas_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  −
| 02/18 - 02/20
  −
| 1,409 LV
  −
| '''42'''
  −
| 37
  −
|}
  −
 
  −
{| class="wikitable"
  −
|-
  −
! Polling Outfit
  −
! Date
  −
! Sample
  −
! Bill White (D)
  −
! Florence Shapiro (R)
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
  −
| '''32'''
  −
| 31
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Texas_225.pdf Public Policy Polling]
  −
| 02/18 - 02/20
  −
| 1,409 LV
  −
| '''37'''
  −
| 36
  −
|}
  −
 
  −
{| class="wikitable"
  −
|-
  −
! Polling Outfit
  −
! Date
  −
! Sample
  −
! Bill White (D)
  −
! Michael Williams (R)
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
  −
| 31
  −
| '''35'''
  −
|}
  −
 
  −
{| class="wikitable"
  −
|-
  −
! Polling Outfit
  −
! Date
  −
! Sample
  −
! Bill White (D)
  −
! Roger Williams (R)
  −
|-
  −
|[http://www.divshare.com/download/6829441-45c University of Texas]
  −
| 02/24 - 03/06
  −
| 500
  −
| 31
  −
| '''33'''
  −
|}
      
===Open Seats===
 
===Open Seats===
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*'''New Hampshire'''
 
*'''New Hampshire'''
   −
Senior Republican Senator [[Judd Gregg]], after withdrawing from a position in the [[Obama administration]], announced he will not seek a fourth term. 2nd district Congressman Paul Hodes is seeking the Democratic nomination, while Republicans are behind former State Attorney General [[Kelly Ayotte]]. Public opinion polls show Ayotte ahead.
+
Senior Republican Senator [[Judd Gregg]], after withdrawing from a position in the [[Obama administration]], announced he will not seek a fourth term. 2nd district Congressman Paul Hodes is seeking the Democratic nomination, while Republicans are behind former State Attorney General [[Kelly Ayotte]]. Public opinion polls show Ayotte ahead. <ref>http://www.unh.edu/survey-center/news/pdf/gsp2009_summer_congapp70209.pdf</ref> <ref>http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/7/15/NH/319/</ref> <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/new_hampshire/toplines/toplines_new_hampshire_senate_september_14_2009/</ref>
    
*'''Ohio'''
 
*'''Ohio'''
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*'''Colorado'''
 
*'''Colorado'''
   −
Appointed Senator [[Michael Bennet]] is expected to face a competitive reelection in 2010. Former Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives Andrew Romanoff will challenge Bennet for the Democratic nomination, while former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton is seeking the Republican nomination. A Rasmussen Reports poll showed Norton would lead Bennet by 9-percentage points. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/colorado/election_2010_colorado_senate_race/</ref>
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Appointed Senator [[Michael Bennet]] is expected to face a competitive reelection in 2010. Former Speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives [[Andrew Romanoff]] will challenge Bennet for the Democratic nomination, while former Lieutenant Governor [[Jane Norton]] is seeking the Republican nomination. A Rasmussen Reports poll showed Norton would lead Bennet by 9-percentage points. <ref>http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/colorado/election_2010_colorado_senate_race/</ref>
    
*'''Connecticut'''
 
*'''Connecticut'''
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*'''New York-Special Election'''
 
*'''New York-Special Election'''
   −
Democrat [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] was appointed by Governor [[David Patterson]] to replace [[Hillary Clinton]] after much confusion on his part. Patterson mishandled the proposed appointment of [[Caroline Kennedy]], gaining ridicule for both of them.  Gillibrand’s moderate views alienated the left wing of the Democratic Party. She has proven a remarkably successful fundraiser, and primary challengers have dropped away. Nine-term Congressman [[Peter King]] considered seeking the Republican nomination but later declined to run. Republicans are trying to recruit former Governor [[George Pataki]], who runs even in the polls with Gillibrand. Some Republican leaders have tried to urge former New York City Mayor [[Rudy Giuliani]] to run, although he appears much more likely to seek the governorship. <ref>http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/gop_pushing_sen_giuliani_RqZSxXw0fxIeppuGc5NUTL</ref>
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Democrat [[Kirsten Gillibrand]] was appointed by Governor [[David Patterson]] to replace [[Hillary Clinton]] after much confusion on his part. Patterson mishandled the proposed appointment of [[Caroline Kennedy]], gaining ridicule for both of them.  Gillibrand’s moderate views alienated the left wing of the Democratic Party. She has proven a remarkably successful fundraiser, and primary challengers have dropped away. Nine-term Congressman [[Peter King]] considered seeking the Republican nomination but later declined to run. Republicans are trying to recruit former Governor [[George Pataki]], who runs even in the polls with Gillibrand. Some Republican leaders have tried to urge former New York City Mayor [[Rudy Giuliani]] to run, although he appears more interested in seeking the governorship. <ref>http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/gop_pushing_sen_giuliani_RqZSxXw0fxIeppuGc5NUTL</ref>
    
*'''North Dakota'''
 
*'''North Dakota'''
   −
[[Byron Dorgan]], a Democratic Senator from a Republican-leaning state, may be vulnerable if popular Republican Governor [[John Hoeven]] runs. If not Dorgan is favored to win.
+
[[Byron Dorgan]], a Democratic Senator from a Republican-leaning state, may be vulnerable if popular Republican Governor [[John Hoeven]] runs, where he would lead by 17-percentage points. <ref>http://www.pollster.com/blogs/nd_hoeven_53_dorgan_36_pos_726.php</ref>
    
*'''Oregon'''
 
*'''Oregon'''
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