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Four segments of the Republican Party, with an analysis of 2000 and 2008, and also 1980
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The '''2012 United States Presidential Election''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. It will occur at the same time as elections to all seats in the [[House of Representatives]] and to one-third of seats in the [[Senate]]. Incumbent Democratic president [[Barack Obama]] is presumed to be seeking re-election in this election. As yet, no Republicans or Democratic challengers have declared their candidacy. The current GOP front-runners, however, are former governors [[Sarah Palin]], [[Mitt Romney]] and [[Mike Huckabee]], Governors [[Bobby Jindal]] and [[Tim Pawlenty]], and former Speaker of the House [[Newt Gingrich]].  With Obama's declining popularity among independents, liberals, and moderates, [[Hillary Clinton]]'s public approval ratings have gained.<ref>Peter Roff, [http://www.usnews.com/blogs/peter-roff/2010/01/27/a-hillary-clinton-primary-challenge-to-obama-in-2012.html A Hillary Clinton Primary Challenge to Obama in 2012?], ''USNews and World Report'', January 27, 2010. </ref>  
 
The '''2012 United States Presidential Election''' is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 6, 2012. It will occur at the same time as elections to all seats in the [[House of Representatives]] and to one-third of seats in the [[Senate]]. Incumbent Democratic president [[Barack Obama]] is presumed to be seeking re-election in this election. As yet, no Republicans or Democratic challengers have declared their candidacy. The current GOP front-runners, however, are former governors [[Sarah Palin]], [[Mitt Romney]] and [[Mike Huckabee]], Governors [[Bobby Jindal]] and [[Tim Pawlenty]], and former Speaker of the House [[Newt Gingrich]].  With Obama's declining popularity among independents, liberals, and moderates, [[Hillary Clinton]]'s public approval ratings have gained.<ref>Peter Roff, [http://www.usnews.com/blogs/peter-roff/2010/01/27/a-hillary-clinton-primary-challenge-to-obama-in-2012.html A Hillary Clinton Primary Challenge to Obama in 2012?], ''USNews and World Report'', January 27, 2010. </ref>  
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== Four Segments of the Republican Party ==
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There are four basic components of the Republican Party.  '''To obtain the nomination, a candidate needs to win the support of at least two out of four''':
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#social conservatives (pro-life, pro-marriage, pro-Republican Party platform)
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#libertarians (lower taxes, less government, small business interests, anti-union)
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#religious voters (Baptists, Presbyterians, Catholics, evangelicals, Mormons)
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#neoconservatives (foreign intervention, "better" government)
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In 2008, John McCain won the nomination by capturing the support of 1 and 4 above.  Ron Paul had the support of 2, and Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee had the support of different parts of 3.
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In 2000, George Bush won with the support of 1 and 3.
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In 1980, Ronald Reagan had the support of 1 and 2.
    
== Republican Candidates ==
 
== Republican Candidates ==
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