Changes

1.  List what you think are the top six factors affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion.

1.  List what you think are the top six factors affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion.

2.  Identify the total numbers by political party in the House, Senate, and Governorships today.  Is the President on the ballot this November? If not, then why not?

2.  Identify the total numbers by political party in the House, Senate, and Governorships today (e.g., House is Democrats __, Republicans __, for a total of 435).  Include the Independents in the Senate in the Democratic totals because they vote for the Democratic leadership.  

3.  Apply your answers to numbers 1 and 2 above to make a prediction of the net change in the strength of the political parties in the House, and separately the net change in the Senate, and again separately the net change in the Governorships (e.g., Republicans +9 seats in House, Democrats +1 seat in the Senate, and Republicans +3 seats in the State Governorships).  Explain briefly your predictions.

3.  Is the President on the ballot this November?  If not, then why not?

 

4.  Apply your answers to numbers 1 and 2 above to make a prediction of the net change in the strength of the political parties in the House, and separately the net change in the Senate, and again separately the net change in the Governorships (e.g., Republicans +9 seats in House, Democrats +1 seat in the Senate, and Republicans +3 seats in the State Governorships).  Explain briefly your predictions.

Extra credit:

Extra credit:

4.  What tactical change by either party between now and the election would cause you to change your prediction significantly?

5.  What tactical change by either party between now and the election would cause you to change your prediction significantly?