Changes

1.  List what you think are the top six factors affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion.

1.  List what you think are the top six factors affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion.

2.  Identify the total numbers by political party in the House, Senate, and Governorships today (e.g., House is Democrats __, Republicans __, for a total of 435).  Include the Independents in the Senate in the Democratic totals because they vote for the Democratic leadership.   

2.  Identify the total numbers by political party in the House, Senate, and Governorships today, before the election (e.g., the House will be Democrats __, Republicans __, for a total of 435).  Include the Independents in the Senate in the Democratic totals because they vote for the Democratic leadership.   

3.  Is the President on the ballot this November?  If not, then why not?

3.  Is the President on the ballot this November?  If not, then why not?

4.  Apply your answers to numbers 1 and 2 above to make a prediction of the net change in the strength of the political parties in the House, and separately the net change in the Senate, and again separately the net change in the Governorships (e.g., Republicans +9 seats in House, Democrats +1 seat in the Senate, and Republicans +3 seats in the State Governorships).  Explain briefly your predictions.

4.  Apply your answers to numbers 1 and 2 above to make a prediction of composition of the House, Senate and state Governorships after Election Day.  Explain briefly the basis of your predictions.

Extra credit:

Extra credit: