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| | Factors that affect the outcome of an election vary from election year to election year. For example, in 2004, the top factors that decided the election were terrorism and social issues. This year, I think the economy and the government takeover of one sixth of the American economy will play a major role. As you stated on the lecture, politics is about the future, there will not be two election cycles that will be decided by the same factors. | | Factors that affect the outcome of an election vary from election year to election year. For example, in 2004, the top factors that decided the election were terrorism and social issues. This year, I think the economy and the government takeover of one sixth of the American economy will play a major role. As you stated on the lecture, politics is about the future, there will not be two election cycles that will be decided by the same factors. |
| − | List what you think are the top factors (e.g., jobs, handling of the wars, Tea Parties, media bias, government spending, education, or anything else) affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion. | + | |
| | + | 1-List what you think are the top factors (e.g., jobs, handling of the wars, Tea Parties, media bias, government spending, education, or anything else) affecting the outcome of the election this November 2nd, and give relative "weights" to each according to your opinion. |
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| | Economy and jobs ---- 50% | | Economy and jobs ---- 50% |
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| | Tea Parties ----- 15% | | Tea Parties ----- 15% |
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| − | Identify the total numbers by political party in the House and Senate, before the election (e.g., the House consists of __ Democrats and __ Republicans, for a total of 435). Include the Independents in the Senate in the Democratic totals because they vote for the Democratic leadership. | + | 2-Identify the total numbers by political party in the House and Senate, before the election (e.g., the House consists of __ Democrats and __ Republicans, for a total of 435). Include the Independents in the Senate in the Democratic totals because they vote for the Democratic leadership. |
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| | The House consists of 255 Democrats, 178 Democrats and two vacancies for a total of 435 members. After a little research those two vacancies are IN-3, due to the resignation of Mark Souder (R) and NY-29, due to the resignation of Eric Massa (D). <sup>1</sup> | | The House consists of 255 Democrats, 178 Democrats and two vacancies for a total of 435 members. After a little research those two vacancies are IN-3, due to the resignation of Mark Souder (R) and NY-29, due to the resignation of Eric Massa (D). <sup>1</sup> |
| − | Is the President on the ballot this November? If not, then why not? | + | |
| | + | 3-Is the President on the ballot this November? If not, then why not? |
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| | No, the President is not on the ballot this November. The President is only on the ballot when they year is divisible by four. Barack Hussein Obama will be on the ballot in 2012. | | No, the President is not on the ballot this November. The President is only on the ballot when they year is divisible by four. Barack Hussein Obama will be on the ballot in 2012. |
| − | Using your answers questions 1 and 2 above and any other information, make a prediction of composition by political party of the House and Senate after Election Day. Explain briefly the basis of your predictions. | + | |
| | + | 4-Using your answers questions 1 and 2 above and any other information, make a prediction of composition by political party of the House and Senate after Election Day. Explain briefly the basis of your predictions. |
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| | Due to the current state of the economy, the high unemployment rate, the failed stimulus, the government takeover of the health care industry against the will of the people, the attempt by the Democrats to create a new massive tax on energy, among many other factors; Republicans are doomed to success, as an Argentinian politician once said. (Not that I like Argentinians, his catchphrase was funny because of the context and I still remember it) | | Due to the current state of the economy, the high unemployment rate, the failed stimulus, the government takeover of the health care industry against the will of the people, the attempt by the Democrats to create a new massive tax on energy, among many other factors; Republicans are doomed to success, as an Argentinian politician once said. (Not that I like Argentinians, his catchphrase was funny because of the context and I still remember it) |