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====Short form====
 
====Short form====
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The short-form analysis is that 2012 will be a replay of 2008 with Newt Gingrich trying to play the role of John McCain.  Also, Sarah Palin may arun along with Mike Huckabee to contest for early primaries before dropping out and endorsing Newt.
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The short-form analysis is that 2012 will be a replay of 2008 with Newt Gingrich trying to play the role of John McCain.  Also, Sarah Palin may run along with Mike Huckabee to contest for early primaries before dropping out and endorsing Newt.
    
The challenge for social conservatives is to run a candidate, such as Marco Rubio, who can capture the large Tea Party and evangelical voting blocs despite the stalking horse candidacies of Palin and Huckabee.
 
The challenge for social conservatives is to run a candidate, such as Marco Rubio, who can capture the large Tea Party and evangelical voting blocs despite the stalking horse candidacies of Palin and Huckabee.
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