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| | The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president. Candidates are expected to file formal papers indicating their interest in early 2011; many have been quietly lining up support throughout 2010. The key early primaries are Iowa (caucuses), South Carolina, Nevada (caucuses) and New Hampshire.<ref>http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref> | | The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president. Candidates are expected to file formal papers indicating their interest in early 2011; many have been quietly lining up support throughout 2010. The key early primaries are Iowa (caucuses), South Carolina, Nevada (caucuses) and New Hampshire.<ref>http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref> |
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| − | The '''Presidential Election 2012''' features "[[stalking horse]]" candidates in the primary, just as McCain backers used [[Fred Thompson]] in 2008 to prevent [[Mitt Romney]] from winning. Thompson obtained undeserved endorsements from national pro-life groups plus promotion on the [[Fox News Channel]], and thereby siphoned off [[pro-life]]rs and other [[conservative]]s from Romney. Then Thompson withdrew and endorsed McCain. Stalking horses for Newt Gingrich in 2012 are expected to be Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee and Mike Pence. | + | The '''Presidential Election 2012''' features "[[stalking horse]]" candidates in the primary, just as McCain backers used [[Fred Thompson]] in 2008 to prevent [[Mitt Romney]] from winning. Thompson obtained undeserved endorsements from national pro-life groups plus promotion on the [[Fox News Channel]], and thereby siphoned off [[pro-life]]rs and other [[conservative]]s from Romney. Then Thompson withdrew and endorsed McCain. Stalking horses for Newt Gingrich in 2012 with evangelicals are expected to be Mike Huckabee, Mike Pence and possibly Sarah Palin. ''But the longer that Sarah Palin remains a candidate, the more difficult it becomes for Newt to gain socially conservative support to defeat Mitt''. |
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| | == Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination == | | == Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination == |
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| | |[[Newt Gingrich]] | | |[[Newt Gingrich]] |
| − | |Articulate, credited with 1994 landslide, balanced the federal budget in the Clinton era, leader in fundraising, likely to obtain endorsement of older "right to life" groups against Mitt;<ref name="April 2010 Fundraising">http://www.usnews.com/blogs/robert-schlesinger/2010/04/19/sarah-palin-lags-in-2012-fundraising-primary.html</ref> has the [[stalking horses]] of [[Sarah Palin]], [[Mike Huckabee]] and [[Mike Pence]] to help him win the nomination. | + | |Articulate, credited with 1994 landslide, balanced the federal budget in the Clinton era, leader in fundraising, likely to obtain endorsement of older "right to life" groups against Mitt;<ref name="April 2010 Fundraising">http://www.usnews.com/blogs/robert-schlesinger/2010/04/19/sarah-palin-lags-in-2012-fundraising-primary.html</ref> has the [[stalking horses]] of [[Mike Huckabee]], [[Mike Pence]] and possibly [[Sarah Palin]] to help him win the nomination. |
| | |Struggled to win reelections in his own congressional district; has previously endorsed [[liberal]] ideas like "[[cap-and-trade]]" ([[global warming]] hoax) and a [[Con Con]]; resigned as Speaker rather than follow through with the impeachment of [[Bill Clinton]]; divorced twice and married three times, most recently to a women 23 years younger than he; has never won statewide office; Sarah Palin is suggesting that she may not pull out and this would prevent Newt from defeating Mitt. | | |Struggled to win reelections in his own congressional district; has previously endorsed [[liberal]] ideas like "[[cap-and-trade]]" ([[global warming]] hoax) and a [[Con Con]]; resigned as Speaker rather than follow through with the impeachment of [[Bill Clinton]]; divorced twice and married three times, most recently to a women 23 years younger than he; has never won statewide office; Sarah Palin is suggesting that she may not pull out and this would prevent Newt from defeating Mitt. |
| | |Promoted almost daily by Fox | | |Promoted almost daily by Fox |