| − | It takes only one "counterexample" to disprove the theory of an [[Old Earth]].<ref>Most of the "evidence" for an [[Old Earth]] is based on claims that lack testability, as in [[radiometric dating]], and hence would not even satisfy minimum requirements for admissibility in court.</ref> As with any logical proposition, one contradiction disproves the proposed rule. If each of 25 counterexamples has merely a 10% chance of being valid, which is certainly an underestimate, then the probability that the Earth is billions of years old is only 7%. With total of these counterexamples increasing above 25, '''they demonstrate that the Earth must be young with a likelihood of more than 93%'''. ''This list has since grown to 30 counterexamples''. | + | It takes only one "counterexample" to disprove the theory of an [[Old Earth]].<ref>Most of the "evidence" for an [[Old Earth]] is based on claims that lack testability, as in [[radiometric dating]], and hence would not even satisfy minimum requirements for admissibility in court.</ref> As with any logical proposition, one contradiction disproves the proposed rule. If each of 30 counterexamples has merely a 10% chance of being valid, which is certainly an underestimate, then the probability that the Earth is billions of years old is only 4%. With total of these counterexamples reaching 30, '''they demonstrate that the Earth must be young with a likelihood of 96%'''. |