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United States presidential election, 2012 (view source)

Revision as of 23:59, June 10, 2011

114 bytes added ,  23:59, June 10, 2011
→‎Short form: The short form analysis is this: it probably requires a minimum of $50 million in campaign funds to win the nomination, and more if the candidate lacks a strong conservative base
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====Short form====
 
====Short form====
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The short-form analysis is that 2012 will be a replay of 2008 with Newt Gingrich trying to play the role of John McCain.  Also, Sarah Palin may run along with Mike Huckabee to contest for early primaries before dropping out and endorsing Newt.
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The short form analysis is this:  it probably requires a minimum of $50 million in campaign funds to win the nomination, and more if the candidate lacks a strong [[conservative]] base.  Many of the candidates are probably looking to big fundraisers for support, but they are unsure of whom to back.  Karl Rove, with all of his contacts from the Bush years, may be able to raise $20 million for a candidate; Haley Barbour might be able to raise even more.  Fox News and its allies can raise eight figures also, as they helped reelect [[John McCain]] as senator in 2010.
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The challenge for social conservatives is to run a candidate, such as Marco Rubio, who can capture the large Tea Party and evangelical voting blocs despite the stalking horse candidacies of Palin and Huckabee.
      
====Long form====
 
====Long form====
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