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The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he only narrowly won last time.  [[Mitt Romney]] will likely win the [[New Hampshire]] primary, but if another candidate wins [[Iowa]] and [[South Carolina]],<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined as of the end of 2010.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref> then that candidate could win the [[Republican]] nomination.

The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he only narrowly won last time.  [[Mitt Romney]] will likely win the [[New Hampshire]] primary, but if another candidate wins [[Iowa]] and [[South Carolina]],<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined as of the end of 2010.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref> then that candidate could win the [[Republican]] nomination.

For the Republican nomination, [[Mitt Romney]] is positioning himself on the liberal side while [[Michele Bachmann]] has attracted [[conservative]] support. Additional candidates are possible.  [[Newt Gingrich]] and [[Tim Pawlenty]] will compete for endorsement by [[neoconservatives]] and also [[pro-life]] groups; [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates.

For the Republican nomination, [[Mitt Romney]] is positioning himself on the liberal side while [[Michele Bachmann]] has attracted [[conservative]] support. [[Newt Gingrich]] and [[Tim Pawlenty]] will compete for endorsement by [[neoconservatives]] and also [[pro-life]] groups; [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates. Additional candidates are possible. 

 

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== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==

== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==