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The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he only narrowly won last time.

The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, when the [[United States]] elects a president.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he only narrowly won last time.

For the Republican nomination, the leaders are [[Mitt Romney]] (likely to win [[New Hampshire]]), [[Michele Bachmann]] (likely to win [[Iowa]]), and [[Rick Perry]] (likely to win the South).<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined as of the end of 2010.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref>  Neither seem to have broad enough support to win the nomination.  [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates.  Additional candidates (perhaps [[JSarah Palin]] and [[Rudy Giuliani]]?) are possible.

For the Republican nomination, the leaders are [[Mitt Romney]] (likely to win [[New Hampshire]]), [[Michele Bachmann]] (likely to win [[Iowa]]), and [[Rick Perry]] (likely to win the South).<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined as of the end of 2010.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref>  Neither seem to have broad enough support to win the nomination.  [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates.  Additional candidates (perhaps [[Sarah Palin]] and [[Rudy Giuliani]]?) are possible.

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== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==

== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==