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The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, 2012.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he won only narrowly last time.

The '''Presidential Election 2012''' is on Tuesday, November 6, 2012.  [[Obama]], with his [[Barack Obama approval ratings|declining popularity]], is unlikely to win reelection unless he can carry [[Florida]], which he won only narrowly last time.

For the Republican nomination, the leaders are [[Mitt Romney]] (likely to win [[New Hampshire]]), [[Herman Cain]], and [[Rick Perry]] (likely to win the South).<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref>  None seems to have broad enough support to win the nomination.  [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates.  Additional candidates (perhaps [[Jeb Bush]]) are possible.

For the Republican nomination, the leaders are [[Mitt Romney]] (likely to win [[New Hampshire]]), [[Herman Cain]], and [[Rick Perry]] (likely to win the South).<ref>The order of the early primaries is not yet finally determined.  For estimated dates, see http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/events.phtml?s=c</ref>  None seems to have broad enough support to win the nomination.  [[Ron Paul]] has a solid base of about 10% and his ideas are being adopted by other candidates.  

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== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==

== Ranking of Potential Republican Candidates by Likelihood of Winning Nomination ==