Changes

Today the study ''[http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2011/12/12/1118525109.abstract Global risk of big earthquakes has not recently increased]'' was published: the authors show that the earthquakes of the last hundred years fit well into the model of a homogeneous Poisson process, i.e., there is no increase of the number of big quakes. ''Together these facts suggest that the global risk of large earthquakes is no higher today than it has been in the past. '' [[User:AugustO|AugustO]] 17:50, 20 December 2011 (EST)

Today the study ''[http://www.pnas.org/content/early/2011/12/12/1118525109.abstract Global risk of big earthquakes has not recently increased]'' was published: the authors show that the earthquakes of the last hundred years fit well into the model of a homogeneous Poisson process, i.e., there is no increase of the number of big quakes. ''Together these facts suggest that the global risk of large earthquakes is no higher today than it has been in the past. '' [[User:AugustO|AugustO]] 17:50, 20 December 2011 (EST)

::::AugustO pulls out the heavy artillery: The Poisson distribution! The material on multiple regression and the Poisson distribution were my favorite parts of the last statistics course I took. :)

::AugustO pulls out the heavy artillery: The Poisson distribution! The material on multiple regression and the Poisson distribution were my favorite parts of the last statistics course I took. :) [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] 22:08, 20 December 2011 (EST)

== Taking your logic from the opening paragraph and running with it... ==

== Taking your logic from the opening paragraph and running with it... ==

I can prove that gravity doesn't exist. Just because something hasn't been explained or there are contradictions doesn't mean that the theory is incorrect. For instance, problems with gravity include: a discrepancy between the models at a macro level and quantum level, Stars in galaxies follow a distribution of velocities where stars on the outskirts are moving faster than they should according to the observed distributions of normal matter. Galaxies within galaxy clusters show a similar pattern, and of course the fact that no one has discovered a graviton. In short, according to your logic, since all of these cast doubt on gravity, it doesn't exist. Yet I'm still being held to the ground aren't I? Perhaps you should rethink your logic. [[User:JohnPaulJonesRevWar|JohnPaulJonesRevWar]] 13:02, 24 October 2011 (EDT)

I can prove that gravity doesn't exist. Just because something hasn't been explained or there are contradictions doesn't mean that the theory is incorrect. For instance, problems with gravity include: a discrepancy between the models at a macro level and quantum level, Stars in galaxies follow a distribution of velocities where stars on the outskirts are moving faster than they should according to the observed distributions of normal matter. Galaxies within galaxy clusters show a similar pattern, and of course the fact that no one has discovered a graviton. In short, according to your logic, since all of these cast doubt on gravity, it doesn't exist. Yet I'm still being held to the ground aren't I? Perhaps you should rethink your logic. [[User:JohnPaulJonesRevWar|JohnPaulJonesRevWar]] 13:02, 24 October 2011 (EDT)