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Line 1: − Here are the key swing states for the [[Presidential Election 2012]], ranked by likelihood that [[Barack Obama]] will likely lose them despite winning them in 2008. These eight swing states will have a total of 122 [[Electoral College]] votes in 2012. (In 2008 Obama won by a margin of only six states.) − {| class="wikitable" − |- − !State − !Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008 − !Indicators − !Electoral Votes in 2012 − |- − |Indiana − |1.03% − |Indiana was a red state from 1964 to 2004, and when Obama took the state in 2008 it was by a very narrow margin. Obama is currently very unpopular in the state − |11 − |- − |Virginia − | − |Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature − |13 − |- − |Pennsylvania − |10.3% − |Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref> − |20 − |- − |Florida − | − |Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state. − |29 − |- − |Ohio − | − | − |18 − |- − |Wisconsin − | − |Elected Republicans to the state legislature, governor's office, and Senate in 2010. Despite much complaining by Democrats and their [[labor union]] allies, recall attempts in 2011 failed to overturn the GOP majority in the state senate. − |10 − |- − |North Carolina − | − |The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff. − |15 − |- − |Nevada − | − |A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process. − |6 − |- − |Colorado − | − | − |9 − |- − |Michigan − | − |Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state. − |16 − |- − |Iowa − | − | − |6 − |- − |New Hampshire − | − | − |4 − |- − |New Mexico − | − | − |5 − |} − − == See also == − − *[[Presidential Election 2012]] − *[[Endorsements 2012]] − − == External links == − − *[http://www.tnr.com/article/the-vital-center/95467/obama-mccain-elections-gop-democrats Analysis of Electoral College and popular vote] − − == References == − − <references/> − − − [[Category:politics]]
move to the existing swing states