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Argentina could overperform. They may very well medal in basketball, and they'd only need one other to equal 6. But with Iceland eliminated in handball, it's incredibly unlikely they will do so.
|Multiple
|Multiple
|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
|Too early to tell. Listed below are the country's medal totals for the last Olympics prior to implementing same sex-marriage (which can be seen as a fair proxy for their totals this year), along with actual totals for this year so far. Denmark, Canada, and Sweden have already overperformed. For the others, it's too early to tell, although it's unlikely Spain, Argentina, or the Netherlands will overperform. To support the claim that there is no correlation, there should be an even number of countries overperforming as underperforming. Another result would suggest that there is a correlation of some sort.
|Too early to tell. Listed below are the country's medal totals for the last Olympics prior to implementing same sex-marriage (which can be seen as a fair proxy for their totals this year), along with actual totals for this year so far. Denmark, Canada, and Sweden have already overperformed. For the others, it's too early to tell, although it's unlikely Spain, Iceland, or the Netherlands will overperform. To support the claim that there is no correlation, there should be an even number of countries overperforming as underperforming. Another result would suggest that there is a correlation of some sort.
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 2 in 2012
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 4 in 2012
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012
: Canada - 12 in 2004, 17 in 2012
: Canada - 12 in 2004, 17 in 2012
: Denmark - 7 in 2008, 9 in 2012
: Denmark - 7 in 2008, 9 in 2012
: Iceland - 1 in 2008, 0 in 2012
: Iceland - 1 in 2008, 0 in 2012
: Netherlands - 25 in 2000, 18 in 2012
: Netherlands - 25 in 2000, 19 in 2012
: Norway - 6 in 2004, 3 in 2012
: Norway - 6 in 2004, 3 in 2012
: Portugal - 2 in 2008, 1 in 2012
: Portugal - 2 in 2008, 1 in 2012
: South Africa - 6 in 2004, 5 in 2012
: South Africa - 6 in 2004, 5 in 2012
: Spain - 19 in 2004, 12 in 2012
: Spain - 19 in 2004, 13 in 2012
: Sweden - 5 in 2008, 7 in 2012
: Sweden - 5 in 2008, 7 in 2012
: Total - 94 expected, 77 actual
: Total - 94 expected, 80 actual
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