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rewording who is unlikely to overperform, since things have changed. Although Iceland is only one medal short, they never had any contenders other than in men's handball, who has been eliminated.
|Multiple
|Multiple
|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
|Will countries that have implemented same-sex marriage underperform? (See below for a more lengthy explanation)
|Too early to tell. Listed below are the country's medal totals for the last Olympics prior to implementing same sex-marriage (which can be seen as a fair proxy for their totals this year), along with actual totals for this year so far. Denmark, Canada, and Sweden have already overperformed. For the others, it's too early to tell, although it's unlikely Spain, Iceland, or the Netherlands will overperform. To support the claim that there is no correlation, there should be an even number of countries overperforming as underperforming. Another result would suggest that there is a correlation of some sort.
|Too early to tell. Listed below are the country's medal totals for the last Olympics prior to implementing same sex-marriage (which can be seen as a fair proxy for their totals this year), along with actual totals for this year so far. Denmark, Canada, and Sweden have already overperformed. For the others, it's too early to tell, although it's unlikely Norway, Iceland, the Netherlands, or Belgium will overperform. To support the claim that there is no correlation, there should be an even number of countries overperforming as underperforming. Another result would suggest that there is a correlation of some sort.
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 4 in 2012
: Argentina - 6 in 2008, 4 in 2012
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012
: Belgium - 5 in 2000, 3 in 2012