| − | Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. Polls show Nelson below the 50 percent mark which is bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him. | + | Democrat [[Bill Nelson]] is the incumbent. He will face Republican Representative Connie Mack. Polls show Nelson below the 50 percent mark, which is bad news for an incumbent and Nelson cannot win if Romney takes Florida, a must-win state for him. As of September 2012, Nelson leads Mack by about 8 percentage points, depending on the poll.<ref>[http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/senate/fl/florida_senate_mack_vs_nelson-1847.html Florida Senate - Mack vs. Nelson] realclearpolitics.com, retrieved September 14, 2012</ref> |