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'''Probability from August 2012'''
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{| class="wikitable"
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|-
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! Candidate
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! 9 Aug 2012
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! 16 Sept 2012
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! 26 Sept 2012
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! 3 November 2012
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|-
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| Mitt Romney
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| 34.4%
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| 27.7%
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| 21.7%
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| 22.5%
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|-
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| Barack Obama
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| 65.6%
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| 72.3%
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| 78.3%
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| 77.5%
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|}
          
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes])
 
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes])
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