Difference between revisions of "Global atheism"

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[[File:Birkbeck College Street View.jpg|right|thumbnail|250px|[[Eric Kaufmann]], a professor at [[Birkbeck College, University of London]], using a a wealth of demographic studies argues the decline of atheism in terms of its global adherents is an established trend that will persist for the foreseeable future and the rate of decline will accelerate.<ref>
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Here's another revert, and another "ban" for you to deal with.
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*[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]
 
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*[http://kitmantv.blogspot.com/2011/05/eric-kaufmann-shall-religious-inherit.html Eric Kaufmann: Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth?]
 
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*[http://kitmantv.blogspot.com/search/label/atheist%20demographics Eric Kaufmann's Atheist Demographic series]
 
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[http://fora.tv/2010/09/05/Eric_Kaufmann_Shall_the_Religious_Inherit_the_Earth Eric Kaufmann: Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?, Australian Broadcasting Corporation]</ref>]]
 
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A survey published in the 2005 ''[[Encyclopedia Britannica]]'' stated that 2.3% of the world's population consists of individuals who profess "[[atheism]], skepticism, disbelief, or irreligion, including the militantly antireligious."<ref>http://search.eb.com/eb/article-9432620</ref>
 
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In respect to the 2.3% figure just mentioned, the 2005 survey cited by ''Encyclopedia Britannica'' survey did not include [[Buddhism|Buddhist]] in regards to the 2.3% figure and Buddhism can be [[Theism|theistic]] or atheistic.<ref>http://www.religionfacts.com/buddhism/beliefs/atheism.htm</ref><ref>http://search.eb.com/eb/article-9432620</ref> [[Ipsos]], a major global market research company, published a report on report on religious belief/skepticism from a worlwide perspective and the report provides [http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=10670 various statistics gained from survey results].  See also: [[Atheist population|Atheist Population]].
 
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Atheists as a percentage of the world's population have declined since 1970 and global atheism is expected to face long term decline.<ref>
 
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*[http://www.christianpost.com/news/study-world-is-turning-more-religious-atheism-declining-100518/ Study: World is becoming more religious]
 
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*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/globally-worldviews-of-atheism-and-non.html Globally the worldviews of atheism and non-religious (agnostic) are declining while global Christianity is exploding in adherents]
 
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*[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]
 
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*[http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/StatusOfGlobalMission.pdf Gordon-Conwell Seminary - Status of Global Mission, 2014, in the Context of AD 1800–2025]</ref>
 
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On July 24, 2013, ''CNS News'' reported:
 
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{{cquote|Atheism is in decline worldwide, with the number of atheists falling from 4.5% of the world’s population in 1970 to 2.0% in 2010 and projected to drop to 1.8% by 2020, according to a new report by the Center for the Study of Global Christianity at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary in South Hamilton, Mass."<ref>[http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/global-study-atheists-decline-only-18-world-population-2020 Global Study: Atheists in Decline, Only 1.8% of World Population by 2020]</ref>}}
 
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== Sub-replacement fertility of atheist populations. High fertility rate of religious conservatives ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Atheism and marriage]] and [[Atheist marriages]]
 
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On December 23, 2012, Professor [[Eric Kaufmann]] who teaches at Birbeck College, University of London wrote:
 
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{{cquote|I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious.
 
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On the other hand, the secular West and East Asia has very low fertility and a rapidly aging population... In the coming decades, the developed world's demand for workers to pay its pensions and work in its service sector will soar alongside the booming supply of young people in the third world. Ergo, we can expect significant immigration to the secular West which will import religious revival on the back of ethnic change. In addition, those with religious beliefs tend to have higher birth rates than the secular population, with fundamentalists having far larger families. The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British.
 
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<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/04/97-of-worlds-population-growth-is.html 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious], Tuesday, April 30, 2013</ref>}}
 
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Michael Blume, a researcher at the University of Jena in Germany, wrote "Most societies or communities that have espoused atheistic beliefs have not survived more than a century."<ref>[http://www.scilogs.eu/en/blog/biology-of-religion/2011-01-06/atheists-a-dying-breed-as-nature-favours-faithful-sunday-times-jan-02-2011-jonathan-leake-full-draft-version Atheist: A dying breed as nature favours faithful]</ref> Blume also indicated concerning concerning his research on this matter: "What I found was the complete lack of a single case of a secular population, community or movement that would just manage to retain replacement level."<ref>[http://www.scilogs.eu/en/blog/biology-of-religion/2011-01-06/atheists-a-dying-breed-as-nature-favours-faithful-sunday-times-jan-02-2011-jonathan-leake-full-draft-version Atheist: A dying breed as nature favours faithful]</ref>  See also: [[Atheism and sexuality]]
 
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== Global desecularization: An established trend ==
 
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The ''American Spectator'', writing in 2011 about research published in the ''International Bulletin of Missionary Research'', declared:
 
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{{cquote|The report estimates about 80,000 new [[Christianity|Christians]] every day, 79,000 new [[Islam|Muslims]] every day, and 300 fewer [[atheism|atheists]] every day. These atheists are presumably disproportionately represented in the [[Western World|West]], while religion is thriving in the Global South, where [[Charismatic movement|charismatic Christianity]] is exploding."<ref>[http://spectator.org/archives/2011/02/28/thriving-christianity Thriving Christianity]</ref>}}
 
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In 2009, the book ''A sceptics guide to atheism'' indicated: "A worldwide poll taken in 1991
 
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put the global figure for atheists at just 4.4% of the population. By 2006 it was estimated that only 2% of the world population were atheists."<ref>[http://www.facingthechallenge.org/scepticsguide.pdf ''A sceptics guide to atheism'', page 4]</ref>
 
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In 2012 an article entitled ''Atheism in decline'' by Nigel Tomes declared:
 
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{{cquote|The IBMR publishes yearly figures for religions (and non religions) around the globe. Their latest numbers, hot off the press (Jan. 2012) show some interesting trends.
 
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Atheism is in Decline
 
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In 1970 atheists (those avowing there is no God) numbered 166 million worldwide; that was almost one-in-twenty—4.5% of the globe’s population. By 2012 atheists’ number is estimated at 137 million. That’s a decline of almost 30 million. Since world population is growing, atheists’ share declined to less than one-in-fifty—under 2% in 2012. Put differently, every 24 hours there are 800 fewer atheists in the world! Atheism is in decline.
 
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Agnosticism is in Decline
 
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In 2000 agnostics (those who “don’t know” if there is a God) numbered 666 million, 10.9% of the world’s people. By 2012 agnostic’s number is estimated at 661 million--a decline of 5 million. In relative terms by 2012 agnostics represent less than one tenth (9.4%) of world population. Every 24 hours there are 1,100 less agnostics in the world. Agnostics are also in decline.
 
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Added together these two groups make up a declining share of global population. In 1970 atheists and agnostics accounted for one-in-five (19.2%) of the world’s people. Based on current trends by 2025 they will represent less than one-in-ten (9.7%). Their population share will fall by half in 50+ years.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/globally-worldviews-of-atheism-and-non.html Globally the worldviews of atheism and non-religious (agnostic) are declining while global Christianity is exploding in adherents]</ref>}}
 
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== Growth of Christianity in atheistic China ==
 
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[[File:Great Hall of the People in Tiananmen Square in Beijing China.jpg|thumb|right|240px|In front of the Great Hall of the People in Tiananmen Square in Beijing.]]
 
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''See also:'' [[Growth of Christianity in China]] and [[Collapse of atheism in the former Soviet Union]] and [[Decline of the secular left]]
 
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On November 1, 2014, an article in ''The Economist'' entitled ''Cracks in the atheist edifice'' declared:
 
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{{cquote|Officials are untroubled by the clash between the city’s famously freewheeling capitalism and the Communist Party’s ideology, yet still see religion and its symbols as affronts to the party’s atheism...
 
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Yang Fenggang of Purdue University, in Indiana, says the Christian church in China has grown by an average of 10% a year since 1980. He reckons that on current trends there will be 250m Christians by around 2030, making China’s Christian population the largest in the world. Mr. Yang says this speed of growth is similar to that seen in fourth-century Rome just before the conversion of [[Constantine]], which paved the way for Christianity to become the religion of his empire.<ref>[''Cracks in the atheist edifice''], ''The Economist'', November 1, 2014</ref>}}
 
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== Desecularization of Europe in the 21st century ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Secular Europe|Desecularization of secular Europe in the 21st century]]
 
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[[File:Flag of Germany.JPG|thumbnail|225px|right|On March 17, 2014, the news website ''Deutsche Well'' reported that evangelical Christianity has doubled in [[Germany]] in the last 10 years.<ref>[http://www.dw.de/ghanaian-pastor-seeks-to-re-christianize-germany/a-17501259 Ghanaian pastor seeks to 're-Christianize' Germany]</ref>]]
 
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On March 17, 2014, the news website ''Deutsche Well'' reported that evangelical Christianity has doubled in [[Germany]] in the last 10 years.<ref>[http://www.dw.de/ghanaian-pastor-seeks-to-re-christianize-germany/a-17501259 Ghanaian pastor seeks to 're-Christianize' Germany]</ref>
 
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Concerning the future of [[evangelicalism|evangelical Protestantism]] in Europe, in a paper entitled ''Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century'', Professor [[Eric Kaufmann]] wrote:
 
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{{cquote|What of European [[Christianity]]? The conventional wisdom holds it to be in free fall, especially in Western [[Europe]]. (Bruce 2002) This is undoubtedly correct for Catholic Europe, while Protestant Europe already has low levels of religious practice. Yet closer scrutiny reveals an increasingly lively and demographically growing Christian remnant. Several studies have examined the connection between religiosity - whether defined as attendance, belief or affiliation - and fertility in Europe. Most find a statistically significant effect even when controlling for age, education, income, marital status and other factors...
 
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Moving to the wider spectrum of European Christianity, we find that fertility is indeed much higher among European women who are religious...
 
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Today, most of those who remain religious in Europe wear their beliefs lightly, but conservative Christianity is hardly a spent force. Data on conservative Christians is difficult to come by since many new churches keep few official records. Reports from the World Christian Database, which meticulously tracks reports from church bodies, indicates that 4.1 percent of Europeans (including Russians) were evangelical Christians in 2005. This figure rises to 4.9 percent in northern, western and southern Europe. Most religious conservatives are charismatics, working within mainstream denominations like Catholicism or Lutheranism to ‘renew’ the faith along more conservative lines. There is also an important minority of Pentecostals, who account for .5% of Europe’s population. Together, charismatics and Pentecostals account for close to 5 % of Europe’s population. The proportion of conservative Christians has been rising, however: some estimate that the trajectory of conservative Christian growth has outpaced that of Islam in Europe. (Jenkins 2007: 75).
 
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In many European countries, the proportion of conservative Christians is close to
 
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the number who are recorded as attending church weekly. This would suggest an
 
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increasingly devout Christian remnant is emerging in western Europe which is more
 
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resistant to secularization. This shows up in France, Britain and Scandinavia (less
 
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Finland), the most secular countries where we have 1981, 1990 and 2000 EVS and 2004
 
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ESS data on religiosity...
 
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Currently there are more evangelical Christians than Muslims in Europe. (Jenkins 2007: 75) In Eastern Europe, as outside the western world, Pentecostalism is a sociological and not a demographic phenomenon. In Western Europe, by contrast, demography is central to evangelicalism’s growth, especially in urban areas. Alas, immigration brings two foreign imports, Islam and Christianity, to secular Europe.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf ''Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century'' by Eric Kaufmann]</ref>}}
 
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In 2010, Kaufmann reported that the rate of secularisation flattened to zero in most of Protestant Europe and France.<ref>[http://www.mercatornet.com/articles/view/shall_the_religious_inherit_the_earth/ Shall the religious inherit the earth]</ref>
 
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=== Austria offers a window into what the future holds for Europe as far as desecularization  ===
 
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Concerning the future of religion/secularism in Europe, Eric Kaufmann also wrote:
 
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{{cquote|We have performed these unprecedented analyses on several cases. [[Austria]] offers us a window into what the future holds. Its census question on religious affiliation permits us to perform cohort component projections, which show the secular population plateauing by 2050, or as early as 2021 if secularism fails to attract lapsed Christians and new Muslim immigrants at the same rate as it has in the past. (Goujon, Skirbekk et al. 2006).
 
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This task will arguably become far more difficult as the supply of nominal Christians dries up while more secularisation-resistant Muslims and committed rump Christians comprise an increasing share of the population.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf ''Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century'' by Eric Kaufmann]</ref>}}
 
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For more information, please see:  [[Secular Europe|Desecularization of secular Europe in the 21st century]]
 
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== Lack of significant global outreach by Western World atheists ==
 
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[[File:Watoto Childrens Choir picture.jpg|thumbnail|right|320px|Watoto Children's Choir from Kampala, [[Uganda]]. In recent years, Christianity has seen a rapid growth in Africa.<ref>[http://gratefultothedead.wordpress.com/2009/12/16/the-african-apostles-how-christianity-exploded-in-20th-century-africa/ The African apostles: How Christianity exploded in 20th-century Africa]</ref>
 
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In 2005, there were four times as many non-[[Western World]] Christians as there were Western World Christians.<ref>[http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=30077 Is Christianity taking over the planet?]</ref>
 
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<br /><br />
 
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Western World atheists have not engaged in a significant amount of global outreach.]]
 
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''See also:'' [[Global Christianity]] and [[Evangelism|Christian evangelism]]
 
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The current atheist population mostly resides in East Asia (particularly China) and in [[secular Europe]]/Australia among whites.<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2013/05/23/a-surprising-map-of-where-the-worlds-atheists-live/ A surprising map of where the world’s atheists live], By Max Fisher and Caitlin Dewey, ''Washington Post'', May 23, 2013</ref> See: [[Western atheism and race]]
 
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In the [[United States]], atheists are in the minority (See: [[Atheist Population]]). And in the United States and [[Canada]], the general population looks very unfavorably on atheists (see: [[Views on atheists]]).  In the United States/Canada, atheists are generally white (see: [[Western atheism and race]]).
 
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Christianity is rapidly growing in China. China is on course to have the largest Christian population in the world by 2030.<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/10776023/China-on-course-to-become-worlds-most-Christian-nation-within-15-years.html China on course to become 'world's most Christian nation' within 15 years] by  Tom Phillips, ''The Telegraph'', April 19, 2014</ref> See also: [[Growth of Christianity in China]]
 
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Historically, Christians have made great evangelism efforts to reach every people group across the earth. In 2005, there were four times as many non-[[Western World]] Christians as there were Western World Christians.<ref>[http://www.wnd.com/?pageId=30077 Is Christianity taking over the planet?]</ref> Doing overseas evangelism/outreaches, often requires significant hardships/persecution and Western atheists have been unwilling to endure such hardships in order to spread atheistic ideology (see: [[Atheism and hedonism]]).
 
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The former [[Soviet Union]] had a worldwide expansionist policy as far as spreading atheistic communism.<ref>''America Coming to Terms: The Vietnam Legacy'' By Nguyen Anh Tuan, page 82</ref>  The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 led to a spike in religious affiliation, both in [[Russia]] and in Eastern Europe.<ref>[Global Study: Atheists in Decline, Only 1.8% of World Population by 2020] by Michael W. Chapman, CNS News, July 24, 2013 - 2:18 PM</ref>
 
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The atheist community in the Western World has not had significant outreaches to spread atheism outside the Western World.
 
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== Lack of significant outreach to racial minorities in the Western World ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Western atheism and race]] and [[British atheism]] and [[American atheism]]
 
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The atheist community has not had significant outreach to racial minorities within the [[Western World]] whereas Christians have done this (particularly among the poor).<ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/06/16/blacks-are-even-discriminated-against-by-atheists/ Atheism has a big race problem that no one’s talking about] by Dr. Sikivu Hutchinson, Washington Post June 16, 2014</ref>The atheist Dr. Sikivu Hutchinson declared “If mainstream freethought and [[Secular humanism|humanism]] continue to reflect the narrow cultural interests of white elites who have disposable income to go to conferences then the secular movement is destined to remain marginal and insular.”<ref>[http://www.salon.com/2014/10/04/atheisms_white_male_problem_a_movement_needs_a_moral_cause_beyond_glamorizing_disbelief/ Atheism’s white male problem: A movement needs a moral cause beyond glamorizing disbelief] by CJ Werleman, ''Salon, '' October 4, 2014</ref>
 
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== Expected racial demographic changes in the Western World ==
 
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See also: [[Secular Europe|Growth of evangelical Protestantism in Europe]]
 
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In the [[United Kingdom]], by the year 2050, 30 percent of the population is expected to be non-white.<ref>[http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/immigration/10809481/Non-white-people-almost-30-per-cent-of-population-by-2050.html Non-white people almost 30 per cent of population by 2050],  By James Kirkup, Political Editor, ''The Telegraph,''  May 5, 2014</ref> In the United States, the Hispanic population is expected to triple by the year 2050 and become 30% of the United States population.<ref>[U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050 U.S. Hispanic population to triple by 2050], USA Today, By Haya El Nasser, 2/12/2008</ref> ''[[Yale University|Yale]] Daily News'' reported in an article entitled ''White Europeans: An endangered species?'' that "Without a major shift in the current fertility trends, industrialized Europe will see its native population decline by about three-fourths over the 21st century."<ref>[http://yaledailynews.com/blog/2008/02/27/white-europeans-an-endangered-species/ ''White Europeans: An endangered species?''] By Trevor Wagener, ''Yale Daily News'', February 27, 2008</ref>
 
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== European drop in world's population percentage and rise of religious African population ==
 
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In 2014, the Pew Research Forum indicated that Europe will go from 11% of the world's population to 7% of the world's population by 2050 and that [[Africa]] will go from 15% of the world's population to 25% of the world's population.<ref>[http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/02/03/10-projections-for-the-global-population-in-2050/ 10 projections for the global population in 2050] By Rakesh Kochhar, Pew Research Forum, February 3, 2014</ref>
 
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== PZ Myers' prediction that atheism movement will stagnate or shrink unless atheists change ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Atheism and social/interpersonal intelligence|Atheism and social intelligence]] and [[Atheism and emotional/intrapersonal intelligence|Atheism and emotional intelligence]]
 
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On  September 27, 2014 in a blog post entitled ''The Atheist Disillusionment'', the prominent atheist [[PZ Myers]] declared:
 
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{{cquote|I will make a prediction, right here and now.... The number of people identifying as [[atheism|atheists]] will stagnate or even shrink, because organized atheism is happily in the process of destroying itself with regressive social attitudes, scandals, and their bizarre focus on irrelevant metaphysical differences that don’t help people...
 
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Unless we change.
 
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I don’t know that we can.<ref>[http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2014/09/27/the-atheist-disillusionment/ ''The Atheist Disillusionment''] - PZ Myers]], September 27, 2014</ref>}}
 
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Please see: [[Atheist movement]]
 
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== Collapse of atheism in the former Soviet Union ==
 
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''See:'' [[Collapse of atheism in the former Soviet Union]] and [[Decline of the secular left]]
 
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== Atheist community is lacking in confidence ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Atheism and leadership]] and [[Atheism and cowardice]]
 
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{{cquote|Worldwide, the [[Desecularization|march of religion]] can probably only be reversed by a renewed, self-aware secularism. Today, it appears exhausted and lacking in confidence... Secularism's greatest triumphs owe less to science than to popular social movements like nationalism, socialism and 1960s anarchist-liberalism. Ironically, secularism's demographic deficit means that it will probably only succeed in the twenty-first century if it can create a secular form of 'religious' enthusiasm." - the agnostic professor [[Eric Kaufmann]], Birbeck College, University of London, UK, 2010<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/uploadsepk/JQR%20Demography.pdf Shall the religious inherit the earth? - Eric Kaufmann]</ref>}}
 
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== Decline of atheism in terms of global adherents is expected to accelerate ==
 
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''See also:'' [[Atheist Population]] and [[Secular Europe|Growth of evangelical Protestantism in secular Europe]]
 
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[[File:Runner-md.png|thumbnail|right|220px|The [[Decline of atheism|decline]] of global atheism is accelerating and it is expected to affect [[Western World]] atheism.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/why-are-years-2012-and-2020-key-years.html Why are the years 2012 and 2020 key years for Christian creationists and pro-lifers?]</ref><ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/globally-worldviews-of-atheism-and-non.html Globally the worldviews of atheism and non-religious (agnostic) are declining while global Christianity is exploding in adherents]</ref>]]
 
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[[Eric Kaufmann]] using a wealth of demographic studies argues the [[decline of atheism]] in terms of its global adherents is an established trend that will persist for the foreseeable future and the rate of decline will accelerate.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]</ref><ref>[http://kitmantv.blogspot.com/2011/05/eric-kaufmann-shall-religious-inherit.html Eric Kaufmann: Shall The Religious Inherit The Earth?]</ref><ref>[http://kitmantv.blogspot.com/search/label/atheist%20demographics Eric Kaufmann's Atheist Demographic series]</ref><ref>[http://fora.tv/2010/09/05/Eric_Kaufmann_Shall_the_Religious_Inherit_the_Earth Eric Kaufmann: Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?, Australian Broadcasting Corporation]</ref> In addition, Kaufmann argues that religious conservatism has a long term trend of rising and that their influence in the world will significantly increase.<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]</ref> Kaufmann is author of the book ''Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?''.<ref>[http://books.google.com/books/about/Shall_the_Religious_Inherit_the_Earth.html?id=nXVylycU2gQC Shall the religious inherit the earth by David Kaufmann]</ref><ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Early paper - Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]</ref> In the [[Western World]] due to immigration and the higher birth rates of religious people, Kaufman writes: "Committed religious populations are growing in the West, and will reverse the march of secularism before 2050."<ref>[http://www.sneps.net/RD/uploads/1-Shall%20the%20Religious%20Inherit%20the%20Earth.pdf Early paper - Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann, Belfer Center, Harvard University/Birkbeck College, University of London]</ref>
 
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Kaufmann told a secular audience in Australia: "The trends that are happening worldwide inevitably in an age of globalization are going to affect us."<ref>[http://fora.tv/2010/09/05/Eric_Kaufmann_Shall_the_Religious_Inherit_the_Earth Shall the religious inherit the earth]</ref> Furthermore, Kaufmann also argues that secularization may reverse itself significantly earlier than 2050 in the West due to religious immigration and a religious population which is increasingly resistant to secularization in Europe.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/08/european-christian-immigration-will.html European immigration will pour Christian creationists into Europe]</ref><ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/08/the-future-of-european-darwinism-and_16.html The future of European Darwinism and atheism is bleak]</ref> In 2010 it was reported that the rate of secularisation flattened to zero in most of Protestant Europe and France.<ref>[http://www.mercatornet.com/articles/view/shall_the_religious_inherit_the_earth/ Shall the religious inherit the earth]</ref> In terms of the English speaking world, Google trend data as of August 2013 indicates that the world's interest in atheism and [[evolution]]ism has declined since 2004 while interest in [[God]] has increased.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2013/08/google-trends-interest-in-atheism.html Google trends: Interest in atheism and evolution down. Google searches for God are up. Atheism beaches will be softened up before major attacks on atheism ]</ref>
 
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One of the steepest declines of atheism that is expected to occur is in [[China]] which currently has the largest atheist population in the world. China is experiencing a rapid growth of theologically [[conservative]] [[Christianity]] which will have a significant effect on the global atheist population.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2014/04/7-reasons-why-chinese-creationist.html 10 reasons why biblical Christianity will flood the UK in the 21st century]</ref> It will also have an effect on the United Kingdom (UK) in the 21st century as Chinese immigrants are currently the largest group of immigrants arriving in the UK.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2014/04/7-reasons-why-chinese-creationist.html 10 reasons why biblical Christianity will flood the UK in the 21st century]</ref>
 
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In addition, currently the [[Western World]] population is aging in terms of its demographic makeup, particularly in secular [[Europe]], and it has been found that belief in God grows as a person's death nears.<ref>[http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/18/us-religion-belief-idUSBRE83H05W20120418 Belief in God grows as mortality nears, survey says]</ref><ref>[http://www.firstthings.com/onthesquare/2008/03/the-demographic-winter-and-the The Demographic Winter and the Barren Left</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
For more information please see:
 
−
 
 
−
*[http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/religious-baby-boom-primed-to-send-shock-waves-through-secular-world/story-e6frg6zo-1225932716610 Religious baby boom primed to send shock waves through secular world],'' The Australian, Miriam Cosic
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Decline of atheism in terms of global adherents is expected to accelerate]]
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Atheist Population|Atheist population]]
 
−
 
 
−
== WIN/Gallup International data on global atheism ==
 
−
 
 
−
The 2012 WIN/Gallup International Global Index of Religion & Atheism study was rightfully criticized for its methodology and accuracy.<ref>[http://churchintoronto.blogspot.com/2012/08/global-atheism-on-rise-really.html GLOBAL ATHEISM ON THE RISE--REALLY?] by Nigel Tomes</ref><ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/08/another-major-flaw-found-in-survey.html Another major flaw found in a survey which claimed global atheism is rising]</ref>. It claimed that global atheism was growing in terms of its percentage of adherents.
 
−
 
 
−
However, even WIN/Gallup International now agrees that atheism is shrinking in terms of its global percentage of adherents (see: [[Desecularization#WIN/Gallup International studies on global atheism/religion|WIN/Gallup International studides on global atheism/religion]]).
 
−
 
 
−
== Lack of sound leadership in the global community ==
 
−
 
 
−
See: [[Atheism and leadership]]
 
−
 
 
−
== Atheism and the internet ==
 
−
 
 
−
''See also:'' [[Internet atheism]] and [[Atheistic bullying]]
 
−
 
 
−
During the period of 2007 to 2012, the [[Atheist Population|atheist community]] made a concerted effort to spread [[atheism]] through [[Atheism and the internet|means of the internet]]. However, leading atheist websites have seen plunges in web traffic during this same period and during the first half of 2012.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/internet-atheism-and-skepticism-thrill.html Internet atheism: The thrill is gone!]</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
In May of 2012, it was pointed out by supporters of [[Creation Ministries International]]'s [[Question evolution! campaign]] that from a global internet perspective the public's interest in the views of the [[agnosticism|agnostic]]/[[weak atheism|weak atheist]] [[Richard Dawkins]] and the atheist [[PZ Myers]] and in atheism are on the decline while interest in [[Jesus]] and [[Christianity]] are on the upswing.<ref>
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/jesus-vs-richard-dawkins-and-pz-myers.html Jesus vs. Richard Dawkins and PZ Myers - Jesus wins!]
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/jesus-vs-richard-dawkins-and-pz-myers_28.html Round 2: Jesus vs. Richard Dawkins and PZ Myers - Jesus triumphs again! Onward Christian soldiers!]
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/globally-worldviews-of-atheism-and-non.html Globally the worldviews of atheism and non-religious (agnostic) are declining while global Christianity is exploding in adherents]
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/internet-atheism-and-skepticism-thrill.html Internet atheism: The thrill is gone!]
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/05/2012-is-shaping-up-to-be-bad-year-for.html 2012 is shaping up to be a BAD year for atheism and evolutionism! Great new charts and developments!]
 
−
</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
For more information please see:
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Internet atheism]]
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Google trends - Atheism and agnosticism terms]]
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Atheistic bullying]]
 
−
 
 
−
== American secularism ==
 
−
 
 
−
''See also:'' [[American atheism]] and [[Decline of American 1990s secularism]]
 
−
 
 
−
In 2008, the American Religious Identification Survey (ARIS) reported:
 
−
{{cquote|The 1990s was the decade when the “secular boom” occurred – each year 1.3 million more adult Americans joined the ranks of the Nones. Since 2001 the annual increase has halved to 660,000 a year...
 
−
 
 
−
Regarding belief in the divine, most Nones are neither [[atheism|atheists]] nor [[theism|theists]] but rather [[agnosticism|agnostics]] and [[deism|deists]] (59%) and perhaps best described as [[Philosophical skepticism|skeptics]].<ref>[http://commons.trincoll.edu/aris/2009/09/22/american_nones_the_profile_of_the_no_religion_population/ Press: Americans Who Don’t Identify with a Religion No Longer a Fringe Group]</ref>}}
 
−
 
 
−
The Birkbeck College, University of London professor Eric Kaufman wrote in his 2010 book ''Shall the Righteous Inherit the Earth?'' concerning America:
 
−
{{cquote|High evangelical fertility rates more than compensated for losses to liberal Protestant sects during the twentieth century. In recent decades, white secularism has surged, but Latino and Asian religious immigration has taken up the slack, keeping secularism at bay. Across denominations, the fertility advantage of religious fundamentalists of all colours is significant and growing. After 2020, their demographic weight will begin to tip the balance in the [[Culture War|culture wars]] towards the conservative side, ramping up pressure on hot-button issues such as abortion. By the end of the century, three quarters of America may be pro-life. Their activism will leap over the borders of the 'Redeemer Nation' to evangelize the world. Already, the rise of the World Congress of Families has launched a global religious right, its arms stretching across the bloody lines of the War on Terror to embrace the entire Abrahamic family.<ref>[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/03/question-evolution-campaign-is-reaching.html Why are 2012 and 2020 key years for Christian creationists and pro-lifers?]</ref>}}
 
−
 
 
−
== 2010 Global Atheist Convention ==
 
−
 
 
−
''See also:'' [[Atheism and cowardice]]
 
−
 
 
−
In 2010, the prominent atheists who attended the 2010 global atheist conference, which included Richard Dawkins, were challenged to a debate by Creation Ministries International.<ref>http://www.truefreethinker.com/articles/richard-dawkins-cowardly-clown</ref>  Richard Dawkins, [[PZ Myers]] and other prominent atheists refused to debate the [[creation science|creation scientists]] at [[Creation Ministries International]].<ref>http://www.truefreethinker.com/articles/richard-dawkins-cowardly-clown</ref>  Generally speaking, [[Creation scientists tend to win the creation vs. evolution debates|creation scientists tend to win the creation vs. evolution debates]].
 
−
 
 
−
PZ Myers also refuses to debate [[Vox Day]] on the existence of God or concerning evolution <ref>[http://www.truefreethinker.com/articles/speaking-assiduous-absconders%E2%80%A6yet-again-vox-day-challenges-pz-myers-debate Speaking of Assiduous Absconders]</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
== Global atheism and male and female demographic imbalance ==
 
−
 
 
−
=== Surveys by country ===
 
−
 
 
−
In November of 2010, ''Discover Magazine'' published survey results published by the World Values Survey which showed significant differences between the percentage of men and women who are atheists for various countries.<ref>[http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/gnxp/2010/11/sex-differences-in-global-atheism-part-n/ Sex differences in global atheism, part N]</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
=== United States surveys ===
 
−
 
 
−
A 2008 study by Trinity College found that women are significantly more religious than men in America.<ref>http://www.americanreligionsurvey-aris.org/reports/NONES_08.pdf</ref>  In 2007, the Pew Research Center found that American women were more religious than American men.<ref>http://www.livescience.com/culture/090227-religion-men-women.html</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
== Atheism vs. Christian revival in the first half of the 1800s ==
 
−
 
 
−
''See also:'' [[Atheism vs. Christian revival, Christian apologetics and creationism]]
 
−
 
 
−
Reverend Dwight Longenecker wrote: "In the late eighteenth century [[atheism]], [[rationalism]] and [[Freemasonry]] seemed to have taken over [[Europe]]. By the mid to late nineteenth century religious revival had swept through Europe and Christianity was surging forward."<ref>[http://www.patheos.com/blogs/standingonmyhead/2015/04/the-facts-atheism-is-dying-out.html The Facts: Atheism is Dying Out], by Rev. Dwight Longenecker, April 8, 2015</ref>
 
−
 
 
−
== Methodological flaws in some religious/atheism surveys ==
 
−
 
 
−
'''The "Nones" reported in American religious surveys:'''
 
−
 
 
−
*[http://www.firstthings.com/article/2011/02/the-good-news-about-evangelicalism Research shows a significant amount of American nondenominational church members are checking "unaffiliated" or "no religion" on surveys]
 
−
 
 
−
'''2012 WIN/Gallup survey:'''
 
−
 
 
−
*[http://churchintoronto.blogspot.com/2012/08/global-atheism-on-rise-really.html Methodological flaws in 2012 WIN/Gallup survey on global atheism and global religiousity]
 
−
 
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/08/another-major-flaw-found-in-survey.html Another major flaw found in the WIN/Gallup survey]
 
−
 
 
−
== Global obesity epidemic and irreligiosity ==
 
−
 
 
−
Since the world is becoming more religious at an increasing rate and there is data pointing to  irreligiousity being a causal factor for obesity, this may help reduce the rate of increase of the [[Globesity|global obesity epidemic]] (see: [[Atheism and obesity]] and [[Decline of atheism]]).
 
−
 
 
−
== See also ==
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Atheist Population]]
 
−
*[[Atheism statistics]]
 
−
*[[British atheism]]
 
−
*[[Evolution]]
 
−
*[[Atheism]]
 
−
*[[Decline of atheism]]
 
−
*[[Global Christianity]]
 
−
*[[Global creationism]]
 
−
 
 
−
Essays:
 
−
 
 
−
*[[Essay: 10 reasons why American atheism will see a significant decline|10 Reasons American atheism will see a significant decline]]
 
−
*[[Essay: Atheism: A house divided and in global decline|Atheism: A house divided and in global decline]]
 
−
 
 
−
== External links ==
 
−
 
 
−
*[http://www.vancouversun.com/life/Douglas+Todd+shall+inherit+Earth+Perhaps+religious/10281510/story.html Douglas Todd: Who shall inherit the Earth? Perhaps, the religious. Think religion is declining? Don’t forget who is ‘going forth and multiplying’] By Douglas Todd, ''Vancouver Sun'', October 10, 2014
 
−
*[http://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/religious-baby-boom-primed-to-send-shock-waves-through-secular-world/story-e6frg6zo-1225932716610 Religious baby boom primed to send shock waves through secular world],'' The Australian, Miriam Cosic
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2014/02/a-number-of-academic-journals-now.html A number of academic journals now indicate that global atheism/agnosticism is shrinking in influence]
 
−
*[http://questionevolution.blogspot.com/2012/08/what-does-history-say-about-how-fast.html What does the historical record say about how fast secularism can collapse in countries?]
 
−
*[http://www.gordonconwell.edu/resources/documents/wct-1-2.pdf Table on the projected global shrinkage/growth of various worldviews including atheism] (Source: Center for the Study of Global Christianity at Gordon-Conwell Theological Seminary)
 
−
 
 
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== Notes ==
 
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{{reflist|2}}
 
−
 
 
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[[Category: Question evolution! campaign]]
 
−
[[Category: Atheism]]
 
−
[[Category:Evolution]]
 
−
[[Category: Young Earth Creationism]]
 

Revision as of 04:33, October 27, 2015

Here's another revert, and another "ban" for you to deal with.

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