Difference between revisions of "FiveThirtyEight"
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(The site wrongly predicted that Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump in 2016. Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly liberal. It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a) |
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| − | FiveThirtyEight is a poll site | + | ''FiveThirtyEight'' is a poll site started and led by Nate Silver. The name is taken from the total number of [[Electoral College]] votes available.<ref>The total number of votes equals the number of Representatives (435) plus the number of Senators (100) plus the three electoral votes which the District of Columbia is allowed (they are allowed no fewer than the number the least-populous state is allowed; since every state is allowed two Senators and one Representative, they have at least three votes).</ref> |
| − | The site is believed to be heavily biased: the site uses a very ugly Trump face and a handsome Biden face, and it says "Biden is ''clearly'' favored to win this election", 91 to 9 | + | The site wrongly predicted that [[Hillary Clinton]] would defeat [[Donald Trump]] in 2016. Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly [[liberal]]. It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a prophetic assessment. |
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| + | The site is believed to be heavily biased: the site uses a very ugly Trump face and a handsome Biden face, and it says "Biden is ''clearly'' favored to win this election", 91 to 9. In an attempt to hide its bias, it has a fox "comforting" and "encouraging" the "underdog Trump", which is not that biased as the rest of the side. It is a detailed site, at least for liberal Democrats, who usually justify their agenda with the site. This site is basically an attempt to make it look impossible to get Trump re-elected. It also makes polls look biased toward Republicans, which is misleading, as the polls favor Democrats by six points.<ref>https://www.newsmax.com/johntantillo/gallup-biases-sampling/2020/01/06/id/948599/</ref> | ||
== References == | == References == | ||
{{reflist}} | {{reflist}} | ||
Revision as of 15:50, November 6, 2022
FiveThirtyEight is a poll site started and led by Nate Silver. The name is taken from the total number of Electoral College votes available.[1]
The site wrongly predicted that Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump in 2016. Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly liberal. It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a prophetic assessment.
The site is believed to be heavily biased: the site uses a very ugly Trump face and a handsome Biden face, and it says "Biden is clearly favored to win this election", 91 to 9. In an attempt to hide its bias, it has a fox "comforting" and "encouraging" the "underdog Trump", which is not that biased as the rest of the side. It is a detailed site, at least for liberal Democrats, who usually justify their agenda with the site. This site is basically an attempt to make it look impossible to get Trump re-elected. It also makes polls look biased toward Republicans, which is misleading, as the polls favor Democrats by six points.[2]
References
- ↑ The total number of votes equals the number of Representatives (435) plus the number of Senators (100) plus the three electoral votes which the District of Columbia is allowed (they are allowed no fewer than the number the least-populous state is allowed; since every state is allowed two Senators and one Representative, they have at least three votes).
- ↑ https://www.newsmax.com/johntantillo/gallup-biases-sampling/2020/01/06/id/948599/