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→Iran
:*mathematically demonstrates the probability of [[President Trump]]'s claim of shooting down all Iranian missiles yesterday is 1 in 10 Billion of being accurate;
:*mathematically demonstrates the probability of [[President Trump]]'s claim of shooting down all Iranian missiles yesterday is 1 in 10 Billion of being accurate;
:*supposedly Iran's [[MIRV]]ing capability was unknown (despite me having posted video of it a year ago in [[Conservapedia]] during the [[12 Day War]]) by [[American]] military and [[intelligence]] until yesterday.
:*supposedly Iran's [[MIRV]]ing capability was unknown (despite me having posted video of it a year ago in [[Conservapedia]] during the [[12 Day War]]) by [[American]] military and [[intelligence]] until yesterday.
*[https://www.amerikanets.com/p/they-saw-it-coming They Saw it Coming]. ''How [[American]] [[military]] planners anticipated failure in [[Iran]]
*[https://www.amerikanets.com/p/they-saw-it-coming They Saw it Coming]. ''How [[American]] [[military]] planners anticipated failure in [[Iran]].''
:"In mid-February 2026, before the [[US]] [[military]] initiated the airstrikes that began Operation “[[Epic Fury]],” the National Intelligence Council (NIC), an agency of the [[executive branch]] created to synthesize the analysis of the [[US intelligence community|US’s 18 intelligence agencies]], submitted to the [[president]] a classified report detailing the prospects of an attack on [[Iran]]. This assessment, first reported on in the [[Washington Post]] and subsequently confirmed by the [[Associated Press]], painted a grim picture. It concluded that an offensive operation launched by the US military would be unlikely to dismantle the central pillars of the Iranian government. Assassinating Iranian Supreme Leader [[Ali Khamenei]] could backfire, resulting in the consolidation of Iranian [[military]] and [[political]] structures and the activation of emergency protocols the Iranians had been preparing for years. Iran’s [[domestic]] opposition was unlikely to be able to seize power in such a scenario. A limited air campaign or even a protracted war stood a serious chance of failing to achieve [[regime change]]..."
:"In mid-February 2026, before the [[US]] [[military]] initiated the airstrikes that began Operation “[[Epic Fury]],” the National Intelligence Council (NIC), an agency of the [[executive branch]] created to synthesize the analysis of the [[US intelligence community|US’s 18 intelligence agencies]], submitted to the [[president]] a classified report detailing the prospects of an attack on [[Iran]]. This assessment, first reported on in the [[Washington Post]] and subsequently confirmed by the [[Associated Press]], painted a grim picture. It concluded that an offensive operation launched by the US military would be unlikely to dismantle the central pillars of the Iranian government. Assassinating Iranian Supreme Leader [[Ali Khamenei]] could backfire, resulting in the consolidation of Iranian [[military]] and [[political]] structures and the activation of emergency protocols the Iranians had been preparing for years. Iran’s [[domestic]] opposition was unlikely to be able to seize power in such a scenario. A limited air campaign or even a protracted war stood a serious chance of failing to achieve [[regime change]]..."
*[[Julian Macfarlane]]: [https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/hacking-america Hacking America]. ''[[Cyberwar]]fare.''
*[[Julian Macfarlane]]: [https://julianmacfarlane.substack.com/p/hacking-america Hacking America]. ''[[Cyberwar]]fare.''