Difference between revisions of "User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds"
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(Update - Romney surging at Gingrich's expense) |
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| Line 8: | Line 8: | ||
| 20.5% | | 20.5% | ||
| 18.2% | | 18.2% | ||
| + | | 10.5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Mitt Romney | | Mitt Romney | ||
| 20.5% | | 20.5% | ||
| 20.4% | | 20.4% | ||
| + | | 28.0% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Ron Paul | | Ron Paul | ||
| 4.8% | | 4.8% | ||
| 4.8% | | 4.8% | ||
| + | | 4.4% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Jon Huntsman | | Jon Huntsman | ||
| 3.6% | | 3.6% | ||
| 3.6% | | 3.6% | ||
| + | | 3.2% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Rick Perry | | Rick Perry | ||
| + | | 1.6% | ||
| 1.6% | | 1.6% | ||
| 1.6% | | 1.6% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Michele Bachmann | | Michele Bachmann | ||
| + | | 1.0% | ||
| 1.0% | | 1.0% | ||
| 1.0% | | 1.0% | ||
| Line 31: | Line 37: | ||
| Rick Santorum | | Rick Santorum | ||
| 0.7% | | 0.7% | ||
| + | | 0.6% | ||
| 0.6% | | 0.6% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 36: | Line 43: | ||
| 0.3% | | 0.3% | ||
| 0.3% | | 0.3% | ||
| + | | 0.0% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| '''Republican Total''' | | '''Republican Total''' | ||
| '''53.0%''' | | '''53.0%''' | ||
| '''50.6%''' | | '''50.6%''' | ||
| + | | '''49.3%''' | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Barack Obama | | Barack Obama | ||
| 44.8% | | 44.8% | ||
| 47.3% | | 47.3% | ||
| + | | 48.5% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Hilary Clinton | | Hilary Clinton | ||
| + | | 1.6% | ||
| 1.6% | | 1.6% | ||
| 1.6% | | 1.6% | ||
| Line 52: | Line 63: | ||
| 0.5% | | 0.5% | ||
| 0.5% | | 0.5% | ||
| + | | 0.6% | ||
|- | |- | ||
| '''Democrat Total''' | | '''Democrat Total''' | ||
| '''47.0%''' | | '''47.0%''' | ||
| '''49.4%''' | | '''49.4%''' | ||
| + | | '''50.7%''' | ||
|} | |} | ||
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill]) | (Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill]) | ||
Revision as of 03:51, December 26, 2011
| Candidate | Probability at 11 December 2011 | Probability at 17 December 2011 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newt Gingrich | 20.5% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Mitt Romney | 20.5% | 20.4% | 28.0% |
| Ron Paul | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Jon Huntsman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Rick Perry | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Michele Bachmann | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Rick Santorum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Republican Total | 53.0% | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| Barack Obama | 44.8% | 47.3% | 48.5% |
| Hilary Clinton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Joe Biden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Democrat Total | 47.0% | 49.4% | 50.7% |
(Source: William Hill)