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User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds (view source)
Revision as of 13:03, January 11, 2012
, 13:03, January 11, 2012no edit summary
|-
|-
! Candidate
! Candidate
! Probability at 11 December 2011
! Probability at 11 Dec 2011
! Probability at 17 December 2011
! Probability at 17 Dec 2011
! Probability at 26 December 2011
! Probability at 26 Dec 2011
! Probability at 1 January 2012
! Probability at 1 Jan 2012
! Probability at 5 January 2012
! Probability at 5 Jan 2012
! Probability at 11 Jan 2012
|-
|-
| Newt Gingrich
| Newt Gingrich
| 5.0%
| 5.0%
| 2.9%
| 2.9%
| 2.7%
|-
|-
| Mitt Romney
| Mitt Romney
| 34.2%
| 34.2%
| 33.2%
| 33.2%
| 34.1%
|-
|-
| Ron Paul
| Ron Paul
| 5.0%
| 5.0%
| 3.7%
| 3.7%
| 3.4%
|-
|-
| Jon Huntsman
| Jon Huntsman
| 2.1%
| 2.1%
| 1.9%
| 1.9%
| 1.2%
|-
|-
| Rick Perry
| Rick Perry
| 1.3%
| 1.3%
| 1.2%
| 1.2%
| 0.7%
|-
|-
| Michele Bachmann
| Michele Bachmann
| 1.0%
| 1.0%
| 1.1%
| 1.1%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
|-
|-
| 1.7%
| 1.7%
| 4.1%
| 4.1%
| 3.0%
|-
|-
| Rudy Giuliani
| Rudy Giuliani
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
| 0.3%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| '''50.3%'''
| '''50.3%'''
| '''47.0%'''
| '''47.0%'''
| '''45.1%'''
|-
|-
| Barack Obama
| Barack Obama
| 47.5%
| 47.5%
| 50.5%
| 50.5%
| 52.7%
|-
|-
| Hilary Clinton
| Hilary Clinton
| 1.7%
| 1.7%
| 2.1%
| 2.1%
| 1.8%
|-
|-
| Joe Biden
| Joe Biden
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.6%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
| 0.0%
|-
|-
| '''49.7%'''
| '''49.7%'''
| '''52.6%'''
| '''52.6%'''
| '''54.5%'''
|-
|-
| Gary Johnson
| Gary Johnson
|
|
|
|
| 0.4%
| 0.4%
| 0.4%
|-
|-
|
|
|
|
| '''0.4%'''
| '''0.4%'''
| '''0.4%'''
|}
|}
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes])
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes])