Difference between revisions of "Swing States 2012"

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Here are the key swing states for the [[Presidential Election 2012]], ranked by likelihood that [[Barack Obama]] will likely lose them despite winning them in 2008.  These eight swing states will have a total of 122 [[Electoral College]] votes in 2012.  (In 2008 Obama won by a margin of only six states.)
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#REDIRECT [[swing state]]
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{| class="wikitable"
 
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|-
 
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!State
 
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!Margin of [[Obama]]'s win in 2008
 
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!Indicators
 
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!Electoral Votes in 2012
 
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|-
 
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|Indiana
 
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|1.03%
 
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|Indiana was a red state from 1964 to 2004, and when Obama took the state in 2008 it was by a very narrow margin.  Obama is currently very unpopular in the state
 
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|11
 
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|-
 
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|Virginia
 
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|
 
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|Elected a Republican governor, [[Bob McDonnell]], in 2009. In the 2011 elections the Republican party took the state senate, giving them control over both houses of the legislature
 
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|13
 
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|Pennsylvania
 
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|10.3%
 
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|Obama's disapproval rating is high: 54%, and [[Republicans]] swept the elections in 2010; also, Obama polled poorly here in 2008 against [[Hillary Clinton]].<ref>[http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1653 Quinnipiac poll done late September 2011]</ref>
 
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|20
 
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|Florida
 
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|
 
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|Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state.
 
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|29
 
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|Ohio
 
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|18
 
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|Wisconsin
 
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|
 
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|Elected Republicans to the state legislature, governor's office, and Senate in 2010. Despite much complaining by Democrats and their [[labor union]] allies, recall attempts in 2011 failed to overturn the GOP majority in the state senate.
 
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|10
 
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|North Carolina
 
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|The current [[Democratic]] governor, [[Bev Perdue]], is highly unpopular and polling badly, especially in the wake of recent scandals among her staff.
 
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|15
 
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|Nevada
 
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|A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process.
 
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|6
 
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|Colorado
 
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|9
 
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|Michigan
 
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|Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state.
 
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|16
 
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|Iowa
 
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|6
 
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|New Hampshire
 
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|4
 
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|New Mexico
 
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|5
 
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|}
 
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== See also ==
 
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*[[Presidential Election 2012]]
 
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*[[Endorsements 2012]]
 
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== External links ==
 
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*[http://www.tnr.com/article/the-vital-center/95467/obama-mccain-elections-gop-democrats Analysis of Electoral College and popular vote]
 
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== References ==
 
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<references/>
 
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[[Category:politics]]
 

Latest revision as of 16:55, December 23, 2011

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