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[[File:Flag of Ukraine.png|thumbnail|right|250px|The flag of Ukraine.]]

[[File:Flag of Ukraine.png|thumbnail|right|275px|The flag of Ukraine.]]

[[John Joseph Mearsheimer]], is an American political scientist and international relations scholar, who belongs to the [[realist school of international relations]] and teaches at the [[University of Chicago]].

[[John Joseph Mearsheimer]], is an American political scientist and international relations scholar, who belongs to the [[realist school of international relations]] and teaches at the [[University of Chicago]].

While I would love for the Republicans to honor the wishes of its Republican base and cut aid to Ukraine and would like to be pleasantly surprised if they do, Professor Mearsheimer has correctly pointed out several times that the Republican Party doesn't listen to its base when it comes to foreign wars and the elites that are warhawks usually get their way.<ref>[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7EOKBF1nbQ Would Trump really pull out of Ukraine? With John Mearsheimer | SpectatorTV]</ref> The military/industrial complex and its lobbyists usually prevail despite the wishes of the American public.  Furthermore, Meaersheimer is highly skeptical that if [[Donald Trump]] were to win the presidency in 2024 that he would end the war quickly for various reasons (See: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7EOKBF1nbQ Would Trump really pull out of Ukraine? With John Mearsheimer]). I also agree with Mearsheimer on this point.  

While I would love for the Republicans to honor the wishes of its Republican base and cut aid to Ukraine and would like to be pleasantly surprised if they do, Professor Mearsheimer has correctly pointed out several times that the Republican Party doesn't listen to its base when it comes to foreign wars and the elites that are warhawks usually get their way.<ref>[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7EOKBF1nbQ Would Trump really pull out of Ukraine? With John Mearsheimer | SpectatorTV]</ref> The military/industrial complex and its lobbyists usually prevail despite the wishes of the American public.  Furthermore, Meaersheimer is highly skeptical that if [[Donald Trump]] were to win the presidency in 2024 that he would end the war quickly for various reasons (See: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7EOKBF1nbQ Would Trump really pull out of Ukraine? With John Mearsheimer]). I also agree with Mearsheimer on this point.  

[[File:Flag of Russia.png|right|thumbnail|250px|Any "victory" Russia achieves in the war in Ukraine in terms of land gained will be a [[pyrrhic victory]] (See: [[Essay: Why I am not bullish on Russia's future]]). ]]

[[File:Flag of Russia.png|right|thumbnail|275px|Any "victory" Russia achieves in the war in Ukraine in terms of land gained will be a [[pyrrhic victory]] (See: [[Essay: Why I am not bullish on Russia's future]]). ]]

If Donald Trump (or some other Republican) is elected in 2024, maybe Donald Trump (or that Republican) will surprise me and strike a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine as early as 2024 or 2025 (Long-shot events do sometimes happen as evidenced by anyone who has ever seen a black swan). But even if such a thing were accomplished, things will flare up to some degree after such a peace agreement.  

If Donald Trump (or some other Republican) is elected in 2024, maybe Donald Trump (or that Republican) will surprise me and strike a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine as early as 2024 or 2025 (Long-shot events do sometimes happen as evidenced by anyone who has ever seen a black swan). But even if such a thing were accomplished, things will flare up to some degree after such a peace agreement.