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Essay: How long will the war in Ukraine last and what will its likely outcomes will be? A prediction on its outcomes (view source)
Revision as of 05:32, August 26, 2023
, 05:32, August 26, 2023→Russia's demographic crisis has been made worse by the war in Ukraine
The war in Ukraine has aggravated a crisis that long predates the conflict. See: [[Russia's fertility rate]] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Russia#:~:text=Demographic%20crisis,-See%20also%3A%20Demographic&text=Russia%20has%20become%20increasingly%20reliant,decline%20in%20over%20a%20decade. Demographics of Russia] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Russia Aging of Russia] ]]
The war in Ukraine has aggravated a crisis that long predates the conflict. See: [[Russia's fertility rate]] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Russia#:~:text=Demographic%20crisis,-See%20also%3A%20Demographic&text=Russia%20has%20become%20increasingly%20reliant,decline%20in%20over%20a%20decade. Demographics of Russia] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Russia Aging of Russia] ]]
{{Clear}}
{{Clear}}
[[Russia's fertility rate]] of 1.58 births per woman is one of the lowest fertility rates in the world.<ref name="IntelliNews">[https://intellinews.com/russian-fertility-rates-fall-to-record-lows-on-the-back-of-a-deteriorating-economy-and-sanctions-pressure-243191/ Russian fertility rates fall to record lows on the back of a deteriorating economy and sanctions pressure], bne IntelliNews, 2022</ref> It's fertility rate is below the replacement rate of 2.1 births per woman.
Demographers estimate Russia will fall from being the 9th most populous country in the world to being the 17th by 2050.<ref name="IntelliNews"/> And estimates indicate that Russia's population will drop from 2014's 142 million to 128 million by 2050.<ref name="IntelliNews"/>
Russia will go out swinging (Ukraine, etc.), but its age demographics (which is among the worst in the world in terms of an aging population) and other problems will cause a cultural collapse in Russia in the 21st century (See: [https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLUvJPdHqYYiHaspPfyBkYLqYfiOXHyduu Peter Zeihan's demography series]). See: [[Russia's fertility rate]] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Russia#:~:text=Demographic%20crisis,-See%20also%3A%20Demographic&text=Russia%20has%20become%20increasingly%20reliant,decline%20in%20over%20a%20decade. Demographics of Russia] and [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aging_of_Russia Aging of Russia]
Russia, fertility rate and demographics videos:
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UuhgLlxJMkU Demographics of the Orthodox Christain world] by [[Peter Zeihan]]
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-pdZSv7G10&t=23s Russia's Demographic Crisis Explained - TLDR News]
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KXHZ0IH2rOk&t=2s Updates on Russian Demographics]
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FH7QSCU1j_o Russia’s Demographic Crisis is Getting Worse]
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1aFbmpE1wU (Russia is DONE) Russia's Catastrophic Demographics Collapse is Here.]
War in Ukraine causing Russia's demographic crisis worse:
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R--yq_RfvMY Russia Facing Population Disaster - Demographic Crisis, Employee Shortages & Economic Crisis]
*[https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2023/02/26/russia-stares-population-abyss-putin-sends-young-men-die/ Russia stares into population abyss as Putin sends its young men to die], ''The Telegraph'', February 2023
*[https://archive.md/shYl8#selection-335.0-335.16 Millennials and Gen Z are blaming Putin for intensifying Russia’s baby shortfall: ‘It’s pretty bad for us’], Fortune magazine, December 3, 2022
*[https://healthpolicy-watch.news/russia-population-drop/ Dramatic Population Drop in Russia, as War, COVID and Emigration Exacerbate Declining Births], 6/03/2023
For more information, please see:
*[https://theweek.com/russia/1017914/russias-catastrophic-missing-men-problem Russia's 'catastrophic' missing men problem], ''The Week'', 2023
*[https://english.elpais.com/opinion/the-global-observer/2023-04-19/russias-population-shrinks-and-chinas-ages.html Russia’s population shrinks and China’s ages], Shifting demographics are posing unprecedented challenges for China and Russia, 2023
== User: Conservative essays on geopolitics ==
== User: Conservative essays on geopolitics ==