Irenaeus, Siteadmin, Check users, oversight, Administrators
351,424
edits
Changes
Essay: How long will the war in Ukraine last and what will its likely outcomes will be? A prediction on its outcomes (view source)
Revision as of 08:32, December 1, 2023
, 08:32, December 1, 2023no edit summary
Alexander Mercouris is a UK writer on international affairs who cohosts [[The Duran YouTube channel]] with Alex Christoforou who lives in Cyprus. The Duran YouTube channel is a pro-Russia YouTube channel. On November 8, 2023, The Duran YouTube channel, published the video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_IkNLieg1L0 West will choke on Putin's terms for Ukraine] which pointed how badly the war was going for Ukraine and that Ukraine and the West will not like Russia's terms for ending the conflict. In addition, they stated that the "stalemate narrative" that various pro-Ukrainian advocates are pushing are fake, absurd and born of desperation and that the Ukrainian army is running out of fighting men. In addition, Mercoouris noted that although the Biden Administration and the collective West will be hurt by the war in Ukraine, "The United States will pull through" and that it's "not an existential disaster" for the USA, but for Europe (Especially Germany) it will be a big blow.
Alexander Mercouris is a UK writer on international affairs who cohosts [[The Duran YouTube channel]] with Alex Christoforou who lives in Cyprus. The Duran YouTube channel is a pro-Russia YouTube channel. On November 8, 2023, The Duran YouTube channel, published the video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_IkNLieg1L0 West will choke on Putin's terms for Ukraine] which pointed how badly the war was going for Ukraine and that Ukraine and the West will not like Russia's terms for ending the conflict. In addition, they stated that the "stalemate narrative" that various pro-Ukrainian advocates are pushing are fake, absurd and born of desperation and that the Ukrainian army is running out of fighting men. In addition, Mercoouris noted that although the Biden Administration and the collective West will be hurt by the war in Ukraine, "The United States will pull through" and that it's "not an existential disaster" for the USA, but for Europe (Especially Germany) it will be a big blow.
In a November 2023 interview, John Mearsheimer said although there is a slim chance that the war will end soon with a neutral Ukraine (Due to the distrust of Russia towards Ukraine/West as a result of the duplicitiousness of Ukraine/West during the [[Minsk Agreements]]), Russia will annex four more oblasts in Ukraine including Odessa before the war ends. Once again, Mearsheimer indicates Ukraine may end in a unstable frozen conflict and not a meaningful peace agreement and that is probably the best we can hope for. (See: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KvFn7KUCTvE How the war in Ukraine will end | John Mearsheimer and Lex Fridman]). Mearsheimer also predicts that there will be a security competition between the USA/West/Ukraine and Russia that continues even if there is a frozen conflict and the risk of escalation is great. I agree with Mearsheimer about these matters.
Any "victory" Russia achieves in the war in Ukraine in terms of land gained will be a [[pyrrhic victory]] (See: [[Essay: Russia is dying out. The war in Ukraine is making Russia's demographic crisis even worse]] and [[Essay: Why I am not bullish on Russia's future]]). I also predict that Ukraine will be wrecked and become a rump state.
Any "victory" Russia achieves in the war in Ukraine in terms of land gained will be a [[pyrrhic victory]] (See: [[Essay: Russia is dying out. The war in Ukraine is making Russia's demographic crisis even worse]] and [[Essay: Why I am not bullish on Russia's future]]). I also predict that Ukraine will be wrecked and become a rump state.