Difference between revisions of "User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds"
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| + | '''Probability to end of January 2012''' | ||
| + | |||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
|- | |- | ||
| Line 161: | Line 163: | ||
| '''0.4%''' | | '''0.4%''' | ||
|} | |} | ||
| + | |||
| + | '''Probability from February 2012''' | ||
| + | |||
| + | {| class="wikitable" | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | ! Candidate | ||
| + | ! 1 Feb 2012 | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Newt Gingrich | ||
| + | | 4.3% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Mitt Romney | ||
| + | | 36.4% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Ron Paul | ||
| + | | 1.8% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Rick Santorum | ||
| + | | 0.9% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | '''Republican Total''' | ||
| + | | '''43.4%''' | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Barack Obama | ||
| + | | 54.9% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | Hilary Clinton | ||
| + | | 1.7% | ||
| + | |- | ||
| + | | '''Democrat Total''' | ||
| + | | '''56.6%''' | ||
| + | |} | ||
| + | |||
| + | |||
| + | |||
(Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes]) | (Source: [http://www.willhill.com William Hill], [http://www.ladbrokes.com Ladbrokes]) | ||
Revision as of 12:06, February 1, 2012
Probability to end of January 2012
| Candidate | 11 Dec 2011 | 17 Dec 2011 | 26 Dec 2011 | 1 Jan 2012 | 5 Jan 2012 | 11 Jan 2012 | 18 Jan 2012 | 23 Jan 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newt Gingrich | 20.5% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 10.1% |
| Mitt Romney | 20.5% | 20.4% | 28.0% | 34.2% | 33.2% | 34.1% | 36.7% | 30.3% |
| Ron Paul | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Jon Huntsman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rick Perry | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michele Bachmann | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rick Santorum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Republican Total | 53.0% | 50.6% | 49.3% | 50.3% | 47.0% | 45.1% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
| Barack Obama | 44.8% | 47.3% | 48.5% | 47.5% | 50.5% | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.9% |
| Hilary Clinton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Joe Biden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Democrat Total | 47.0% | 49.4% | 50.7% | 49.7% | 52.6% | 54.5% | 54.5% | 54.7% |
| Gary Johnson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | ||||
| Independent Total | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
Probability from February 2012
| Candidate | 1 Feb 2012 |
|---|---|
| Newt Gingrich | 4.3% |
| Mitt Romney | 36.4% |
| Ron Paul | 1.8% |
| Rick Santorum | 0.9% |
| Republican Total | 43.4% |
| Barack Obama | 54.9% |
| Hilary Clinton | 1.7% |
| Democrat Total | 56.6% |
(Source: William Hill, Ladbrokes)