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Essay: How long will the war in Ukraine last and what will its likely outcomes will be? A prediction on its outcomes (view source)
Revision as of 05:38, December 31, 2024
, 05:38, December 31, 2024→December 31, 2024 update
== December 31, 2024 update ==
== December 31, 2024 update ==
As of December 31, 2024, the political betting market Polymarket gives a 42% chance of Trump ending the war in Ukraine in 90 days from his first day in office (See: Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days? ).
As of December 31, 2024, the political betting market Polymarket gives a 42% chance of Trump ending the war in Ukraine in 90 days from his first day in office (See: [https://polymarket.com/event/trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days/trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days Trump ends Ukraine war by first 90 days?] ).
It's less than 50/50.
It's less than 50/50.