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| | :[[neocon]]s are [[political]] people who need [[globalist]]s' money and resources to carry out their designs. | | :[[neocon]]s are [[political]] people who need [[globalist]]s' money and resources to carry out their designs. |
| | :[[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Zelensky Must Go!'']]</sup> 01:29, May 14, 2025 (EDT) | | :[[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Zelensky Must Go!'']]</sup> 01:29, May 14, 2025 (EDT) |
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| | + | Following up in response to Trump's meeting with al-Jolani. Here's what I think is going on. |
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| | + | The Middle East is currently divided into three camps. One led by Iran, one led by Saudi Arabia, and one led by Turkey. Iran and Saudi Arabia are bitter enemies, while Turkey is a "swing power" which goes back and forth between aligning with Iran against Saudi Arabia, aligning with Saudi Arabia against Iran, and opposing both countries. |
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| | + | Between 2011 and 2016, Turkey was firmly aligned with Saudi Arabia against Iran. Their alliance began to deteriorate after the successful coup in Egypt, and collapsed completely following the attempted coup in Turkey itself. While they both continued to support the Syrian jihadis against Assad, they no longer trusted each other and from that point forward treated each other as enemies rather than allies. Meanwhile, Turkey attempted rapprochement with Iran, with limited success. |
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| | + | Then last December, the Syrian jihadists finally overthrew Assad. The Turkish-Iranian rapprochement collapsed, leaving Turkey with just two allies in the region: Qatar and the new Syrian regime. Meanwhile, post-Assad Syria became a potential flashpoint between Saudi Arabia and Turkey as the new regime's loyalties are tested. At this time, it appears to be more aligned with Turkey than with Saudi Arabia. |
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| | + | Enter Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Both seek to normalize relations with post-Assad Syria, defying the long-standing conventional wisdom concerning their foreign policy. However, it appears that they are seeking normalization for completely different reasons. Trump's main concern is containing Iran, he is thus is willing to overlook past transgressions so he could expand the Abraham Accords to include radical Sunni regimes like Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar, and post-Assad Syria. On the other hand, Putin's main concern is eliminating American influence in the region. The primary target of this policy is Saudi Arabia, he is thus willing to overlook past transgressions so he could forge an anti-Saudi alliance led by Turkey and Iran. |
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| | + | To summarize, Turkey, Qatar, and post-Assad Syria a swing bloc. Trump and Putin are competing for their favor, in the process abandoning their long-standing policies against Sunni extremism. I personally find it really embarrassing to watch, and I say that in an just world their efforts would blow up in their faces. But this world is not nor has it ever been just. Nor will it ever be just until Christ returns.--[[User:Geopolitician|Geopolitician]] ([[User talk:Geopolitician|talk]]) 23:02, May 14, 2025 (EDT) |
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| | ==This is not news== | | ==This is not news== |