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The '''Economic Cycle Research Institute''' (ECRI) is a leading expert on business cycles. The ECRI has a history of taking a conservative approach relative to its forecasts, rather than engage in speculation. For example, in 2010 when many forecasters were declaring that the United States was about to go into a recession, the ECRI did not concur with them.[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/09/ecri-calls-recession-based-on-contagion.html]
 
The '''Economic Cycle Research Institute''' (ECRI) is a leading expert on business cycles. The ECRI has a history of taking a conservative approach relative to its forecasts, rather than engage in speculation. For example, in 2010 when many forecasters were declaring that the United States was about to go into a recession, the ECRI did not concur with them.[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/09/ecri-calls-recession-based-on-contagion.html]
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== Blemish in their economic forecasting track record ==
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The ECRI did not declare that a recession had begun until March 2008, three months after it officially began in December 2007. Years later this became the focus of an online debate during the "double-dip" scare of mid-2010.
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[http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2011/09/ecri-calls-recession-based-on-contagion.html]
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[http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/08/scientistic-fiction/]
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== External links ==
 
== External links ==
  
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