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Public Opinion Poll (view source)

Revision as of 16:47, November 11, 2022

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→‎Track record of the website ElectionBettingOdds.com in terms of accuracy

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These effects only indicate how opinion polls ''directly'' affect political choices of the electorate. Other effect can be found on journalists, politicians, political parties, civil servants etc. in, among other things, the form of media framing and party ideology shifts.

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== Arguments on why political betting markets are better than political polls ==

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*[https://theconversation.com/us-midterms-why-gambling-markets-often-predict-elections-more-accurately-than-polls-194189 US midterms: why gambling markets often predict elections more accurately than polls], TheConversation.com, 2022

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*[https://www.politico.com/news/2022/10/28/inside-the-fight-to-legalize-election-betting-before-the-midterms-00063693 Political betting: Is it a 'gambling den' or 'better than polls'?], Politico, 2022

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*[https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-political-scene/betting-on-elections-can-tell-us-a-lot-why-is-it-mostly-illegal Betting on Elections Can Tell Us a Lot. Why Is It Mostly Illegal?], ''The New Yorker'', 2022

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*[https://reason.com/2022/11/10/the-election-betting-markets-fell-short-theyre-still-the-most-flexible-predictor/ The Election Betting Markets Fell Short. They're Still the Most Flexible Predictor.], Reason.com, 2022

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*[http://ubplj.org/index.php/jpm/article/view/981 Prediction markets vs polls – an examination of accuracy for the 2008 and 2012 elections], ''Journal of Prediction Markets'', Jan 8, 2015, DOI: https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v8i3.981

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=== Track record of the website ElectionBettingOdds.com in terms of accuracy ===

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