Changes

::I think the true test will come when China's economy starts having bigger problems and orders less oil from Russia. See: [[Essay: A Chinese economic collapse will be Russia's downfall]]

::I think the true test will come when China's economy starts having bigger problems and orders less oil from Russia. See: [[Essay: A Chinese economic collapse will be Russia's downfall]]

:Also, "China’s slumping economy is likely curbing many of its foreign policy ambitions and prompting a rethink of its policy toward the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Still, a systematic transformation of Beijing’s perspective on Ukraine or other key foreign policy matters is unlikely. Xi shares Moscow’s anti-Western hostility; demonstrates a very shaky grasp of economics, limiting his understanding of the scope of China’s domestic problems; and presides over a system that does not make major self-corrections easily. Xi may dial back China’s pro-Russia neutrality, but only reluctantly and partially."[https://thediplomat.com/2023/08/will-a-china-led-global-recession-influence-beijings-russia-policy/]

::Also, "China’s slumping economy is likely curbing many of its foreign policy ambitions and prompting a rethink of its policy toward the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Still, a systematic transformation of Beijing’s perspective on Ukraine or other key foreign policy matters is unlikely. Xi shares Moscow’s anti-Western hostility; demonstrates a very shaky grasp of economics, limiting his understanding of the scope of China’s domestic problems; and presides over a system that does not make major self-corrections easily. Xi may dial back China’s pro-Russia neutrality, but only reluctantly and partially."[https://thediplomat.com/2023/08/will-a-china-led-global-recession-influence-beijings-russia-policy/]

:And traditionally, sanctions are tightened over time. Maybe Germany will wise up and reignite their nuclear energy industry. But to be honest, Germany is acting so irrationally, who knows what they are going to do next. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 23:36, September 13, 2023 (EDT)

::And traditionally, sanctions are tightened over time. Maybe Germany will wise up and reignite their nuclear energy industry. But to be honest, Germany is acting so irrationally, who knows what they are going to do next. Burt maybe Europe will shift to the right and not be so keen about sanctions against Russia.

 

::I really don't see Russia doing well long term. I doubt they will solve their significant problems such as their demographic crisis. [[User:Conservative|Conservative]] ([[User talk:Conservative|talk]]) 23:38, September 13, 2023 (EDT)