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::::::::It don't look like there will be a blitzkrieg thru Gaza; fighting will be concentrated on retaking the southern occupied settlements. This could be protracted. [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Give Peace a Chance!'']]</sup> 16:40, October 9, 2023 (EDT)
::::::::It don't look like there will be a blitzkrieg thru Gaza; fighting will be concentrated on retaking the southern occupied settlements. This could be protracted. [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Give Peace a Chance!'']]</sup> 16:40, October 9, 2023 (EDT)
:::::::::Low confidence for the following re. precise contours, but I'm assuming a week or so to stage the main ground forces around Gaza, plus seeing how many hostages (women & children) can be winkled out through mediation by the likes of Egypt. Steady airstrikes throughout to degrade Hamas' political & military infrastructure.
:::::::::After that, the air / artillery campaign begins in earnest: pretty much everything adjacent to the border is flattened and all remaining known targets in the rest of the Strip are struck. Once that's done, tanks and infantry roll in from all sides - with full close air support - and they don't leave until there's no-one shooting back.
:::::::::I think it'll take about a month and the civilian casualties will be catastrophic. I don't believe Netanhayu has any appetite for an occupation and he'll probably try & reinstall the PA / Fatah to administer the smouldering ruins.
:::::::::The shock & awe in Gaza probably keeps the West Bank quiet-ish, but provokes a significant response from Hezbollah in the north. I'm assuming a similar air campaign there, followed by a somewhat more restrained punitive raid by land. Again, in and out in about a month.
:::::::::The Western world looks on aghast at the death and destruction; Israel's neighbours express disgust, but remember exactly why they decided f______ with Israel was a Really Bad Idea; Iran smirks on the sidelines re. the chaos they've wrought; and everyone else remembers exactly why they hate Iran. [[User:ConwayIII|ConwayIII]] ([[User talk:ConwayIII|talk]]) 18:37, October 9, 2023 (EDT)
The Iranian government is too stupid for words. Israel is a natural ally of Iran against the twin threats of Wahhabism and the Muslim Brotherhood, but the Ayatollahs are so fanatically antisemitic that they would rather pick fights with the Jewish state than focus on the enemies that actually want to destroy their country, for purely ideological reasons. They are just as delusional as the neocons and neolibs who pick fights with Russia for purely ideological reasons...--[[User:Geopolitician|Geopolitician]] ([[User talk:Geopolitician|talk]]) 23:20, October 8, 2023 (EDT)
The Iranian government is too stupid for words. Israel is a natural ally of Iran against the twin threats of Wahhabism and the Muslim Brotherhood, but the Ayatollahs are so fanatically antisemitic that they would rather pick fights with the Jewish state than focus on the enemies that actually want to destroy their country, for purely ideological reasons. They are just as delusional as the neocons and neolibs who pick fights with Russia for purely ideological reasons...--[[User:Geopolitician|Geopolitician]] ([[User talk:Geopolitician|talk]]) 23:20, October 8, 2023 (EDT)
:That's a very good observation. It's not just in the West and NATO countries that we have a leadership and media totally out of touch with their populations. [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Give Peace a Chance!'']]</sup> 23:30, October 8, 2023 (EDT)
:That's a very good observation. It's not just in the West and NATO countries that we have a leadership and media totally out of touch with their populations. [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|''Give Peace a Chance!'']]</sup> 23:30, October 8, 2023 (EDT)