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*[[Andrew Sullivan]]: America's [[Suez Crisis|Suez Moment]]. [https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/p/americas-suez-moment-b4d]
*[[Andrew Sullivan]]: America's [[Suez Crisis|Suez Moment]]. [https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/p/americas-suez-moment-b4d]
*[[Krainer]]: [https://glenndiesen.substack.com/p/alex-krainer-the-wests-political The West's Political Legitimacy Crisis Is Triggering World War III].
*[[Krainer]]: [https://glenndiesen.substack.com/p/alex-krainer-the-wests-political The West's Political Legitimacy Crisis Is Triggering World War III].
*Aurelien: [https://aurelien2022.substack.com/p/while-we-were-sleeping Life is full of surprises.]
{{quotebox-floar|I’m reliably informed that there are people in Washington and other western capitals who were “surprised” by the ineffectiveness of the recent US/Israeli campaign against Iran, and by the effective surrender of the US as demonstrated in the very one-sided Memorandum of Understanding agreed last week. I put “surprised” in quotation marks, because it’s a word I will come back to several times, and it’s a kind of leitmotif for western policy and western misunderstanding over the last couple of generations. It’s not unique to the West, to be fair, but the West has been the most powerful politico-military actor of modern times, and we’ll concentrate on the West for the most part.
In fact, governments experience surprises all the time, in the sense that things happen which were not expected, or things happen that were thought possible but very unlikely, or things that were thought inevitable don’t happen at all. This is sufficiently common in [[international politics]], and sufficiently serious in its implications, that I thought it might be useful to devote an essay to the question of Why such surprises happen: a subject which hardly anyone takes an interest in, since politically it’s usually enough just to condemn you opponents for being [[naive]], [[ignorant]] or [[stupid]], demand an enquiry and the job is done.}}
:Excellent summary & analysis. [[User:RobSmith|RobS]]<sup>[[User talk:RobSmith|WWJD? Would he claim 2 gay bathhouses in Russia compared to 300 in America justifies nuclear war?]]</sup> 12:20, June 24, 2026 (EDT)
===Israel===
===Israel===