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→Senate
== Senate ==
== Senate ==
Going into the election, the [[GOP]] has a 53–47 advantage, plus the tie-breaking vote of [[Vice President]] [[JD Vance]] as may be needed.
Going into the election, the [[GOP]] had a 53–47 advantage, plus the tie-breaking vote of [[Vice President]] [[JD Vance]] as may be needed.
Sen. [[Susan Collins]] (R-ME) is the only [[Republican]] up for reelection in a state won by [[Kamala Harris]] in 2024, and Collins is considered in jeopardy of losing.<ref>https://www.aol.com/susan-collins-election-prospects-dim-160103422.html</ref>
Sen. [[Susan Collins]] (R-ME) was the only [[Republican]] up for reelection in a state won by [[Kamala Harris]] in 2024, and Collins is considered in jeopardy of losing.<ref>https://www.aol.com/susan-collins-election-prospects-dim-160103422.html</ref>
Sen. [[Thom Tillis]] (R-NC) has declined to run for reelection in the [[swing state]] of [[North Carolina]] to avoid a likely defeat. Trump won this state by 50.9% to 47.7%.
Sen. [[Thom Tillis]] (R-NC) has declined to run for reelection in the [[swing state]] of [[North Carolina]] to avoid a likely defeat. Trump won this state by 50.9% to 47.7%.
In [[Alaska]] and [[Ohio]], the [[Democrat]] candidate has a slight polling advantage in early July, four months prior to the election. Winning both of these races would likely give the Democrats control of the [[U.S. Senate]].
In [[Alaska]] and [[Ohio]], the [[Democrat]] candidates are projected to win. Winning both of these races gives the Democrats control of the [[U.S. Senate]].
In Texas, incumbent Senator [[John Cornyn]] was defeated in a primary runoff by Texas Attorney General [[Ken Paxton]]. Early polls have Paxton in a tight race with Democrat [[James Talarico]]. A [[Libertarian Party]] candidate, Ted Brown, is also running; polls have him between 1 and 4% of the vote. Talarico's chances of flipping the seat blue depend on whether Cornyn's voters decide to vote for Paxton, vote for Talarico or Brown, or sit the race out.
In Texas, incumbent Senator [[John Cornyn]] was defeated in a primary runoff by Texas Attorney General [[Ken Paxton]]. Early polls have Paxton in a tight race with Democrat [[James Talarico]]. A [[Libertarian Party]] candidate, Ted Brown, is also running; polls have him between 1 and 4% of the vote. Talarico flipped the seat blue, impacted probably in part, by Cornyn's voters decisions.
== House ==
== House ==