User:Ferret/2012ElectionOdds
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This is an old revision of this page, as edited by Ferret (talk | contribs) at 22:00, December 31, 2011. It may differ significantly from current revision.
| Candidate | Probability at 11 December 2011 | Probability at 17 December 2011 | Probability at 26 December 2011 | Probability at 1 January 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newt Gingrich | 20.5% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Mitt Romney | 20.5% | 20.4% | 28.0% | 34.2% |
| Ron Paul | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% |
| Jon Huntsman | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Rick Perry | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Michele Bachmann | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Rick Santorum | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Republican Total | 53.0% | 50.6% | 49.3% | 50.3% |
| Barack Obama | 44.8% | 47.3% | 48.5% | 47.5% |
| Hilary Clinton | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Joe Biden | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Democrat Total | 47.0% | 49.4% | 50.7% | 49.7% |
(Source: William Hill)