Difference between revisions of "United States, immigration and the growth of religion in the USA in the latter part of the 21st century"
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In 2021, as far as immigration to the United States from Asia, "The largest countries of origin were India (2.7 million, or 19 percent of Asian immigrants); China, including Hong Kong (2.5 million, 18 percent); the Philippines (2 million, 15 percent); Vietnam (1.4 million, 10 percent); and South Korea and North Korea (1 million, 7 percent). | In 2021, as far as immigration to the United States from Asia, "The largest countries of origin were India (2.7 million, or 19 percent of Asian immigrants); China, including Hong Kong (2.5 million, 18 percent); the Philippines (2 million, 15 percent); Vietnam (1.4 million, 10 percent); and South Korea and North Korea (1 million, 7 percent). | ||
| − | As far as Asia: The majority of Indians are Hindu. China and Vietnam have a large irreligion/nonreligious population. The majority of Filipinos are Catholic. | + | As far as Asia: The majority of Indians are Hindu. China and Vietnam have a large irreligion/nonreligious population. Africa is among the most religious areas on earth (See: [[Religion and Africa]]). The majority of Filipinos are Catholic and irreligion/nonreligion is rare in the Philippines. |
[[File:Religion in mexico.png|200px|thumbnail|center|91.3% of all Mexicans were Christian in 2020 according to census data.<ref>[https://www.inegi.org.mx/temas/religion/#Tabulados Censo de Población y Vivienda 2020 – Cuestionario básico]". INEGI. Retrieved May 18, 2022.]</ref>]] | [[File:Religion in mexico.png|200px|thumbnail|center|91.3% of all Mexicans were Christian in 2020 according to census data.<ref>[https://www.inegi.org.mx/temas/religion/#Tabulados Censo de Población y Vivienda 2020 – Cuestionario básico]". INEGI. Retrieved May 18, 2022.]</ref>]] | ||
Revision as of 22:35, May 3, 2024
On July 24, 2019, due to religious immigration to the United States and the higher fertility rate of religious people, Eric Kaufmann wrote in an article entitled Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose: "Overall, the picture suggests that the U.S. will continue to secularize in the coming decades. However, a combination of religious immigration, immigrant religious retention, slowing religious decline due to a rising prevalence of believers among the affiliated, and higher native religious birth rates will result in a plateauing of secularizing trends by mid-century." [1]
Darel E. Paul wrote at the First Things website:
| “ | Even without demographic models, survey data since the 1970s show that the percentage of Americans with a “strong” religious affiliation has not declined at all; it is the “weak” that have turned into “nones.” Moreover, immigration brings primarily religious people from the Global South into the Global North. In his earlier book, Kaufmann predicted that America’s secular high-water mark will occur around 2030; in Western Europe, no later than 2070. In Kaufmann’s view, religious identity will largely overpower ethnic identity a century hence, “with seculars and moderates of all backgrounds lining up against the fundamentalist sects.”[2] | ” |
Immigration as the prime driver of USA population growth from 2005 to 2050. Most immigrants to the USA are religious
"The U.S. Census Bureau issued a report just after the 2020 data was collected that notes two key demographic realities that churches need to get ready for now. First, by 2030 immigration is projected to become the primary driver of population growth in the United States."[3]
"Pew Research Center has put a number on a similar forecast: 82% of U.S. growth from 2005 to 2050 will come from new immigrants and their families."[4]
U.S. immigration by area
"In 2021, over 60% of immigrant workers who came to the US arrived from North America. Of those immigrants, nearly 90.4% came from Mexico. Asia was the continent with the next highest number of workers immigrating to the US, accounting for about 22%, followed by Europe (9%), Africa (4%), and South America (3%)."[5]
91.3% of all Mexicans were Christian in 2020 according to census data.[6]
In 2021, as far as immigration to the United States from Asia, "The largest countries of origin were India (2.7 million, or 19 percent of Asian immigrants); China, including Hong Kong (2.5 million, 18 percent); the Philippines (2 million, 15 percent); Vietnam (1.4 million, 10 percent); and South Korea and North Korea (1 million, 7 percent).
As far as Asia: The majority of Indians are Hindu. China and Vietnam have a large irreligion/nonreligious population. Africa is among the most religious areas on earth (See: Religion and Africa). The majority of Filipinos are Catholic and irreligion/nonreligion is rare in the Philippines.
Global desecularization
See also: Desecularization
Professor Eric Kaufmann, who teaches at Birkbeck College, University of London, specializes in the academic area of how demographic changes affect religion/irreligion and politics. Kaufmann is an agnostic.
On December 23, 2012, Kaufmann wrote:
| “ | I argue that 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious.
On the other hand, the secular West and East Asia has very low fertility and a rapidly aging population... In the coming decades, the developed world's demand for workers to pay its pensions and work in its service sector will soar alongside the booming supply of young people in the third world. Ergo, we can expect significant immigration to the secular West which will import religious revival on the back of ethnic change. In addition, those with religious beliefs tend to have higher birth rates than the secular population, with fundamentalists having far larger families. The epicentre of these trends will be in immigration gateway cities like New York (a third white), Amsterdam (half Dutch), Los Angeles (28% white), and London, 45% white British.[9] [10] |
” |
Regarding the Western World as a whole and the growth of the religious population in the West, Kaufmann wrote:
| “ | ...this paper claims that the developing world will not only never catch up, but that, ironically, it is the West which will increasingly come to resemble the developing world. Committed religious populations are growing in the West, and will reverse the march of secularism before 2050. The logic which is driving this apparently anti-modern development is demography, a shadowy historical force whose power multiplies exponentially with the modernisation process. Demography is about raw numbers, and, in an age of low mortality, its chief components are fertility and migration.[12] | ” |
A study conducted by the Washington-based Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life says that Africans are among the most religious people on Earth.[13] Africa has a high fertility rate and it is seeing a big population boom. According to the Institute For Security Studies: "Africa's population is the fastest growing in the world. It is expected to increase by roughly 50% over the next 18 years, growing from 1.2 billion people today to over 1.8 billion in 2035. In fact, Africa will account for nearly half of global population growth over the next two decades."[14] See: Religion and Africa
At a conference Kaufmann said of religious demographic projections concerning the 21st century:
| “ | Part of the reason I think demography is very important, at least if we are going to speak about the future, is that it is the most predictable of the social sciences.
...if you look at a population and its age structure now. You can tell a lot about the future. ...So by looking at the relative age structure of different populations you can already say a lot about the future... ...Religious fundamentalism is going to be on the increase in the future and not just out there in the developing world..., but in the developed world as well.[15] |
” |
- ↑ Why Is Secularization Likely to Stall in America by 2050? A Response to Laurie DeRose by Eric Kaufmann July 24, 2019
- ↑ THE FUTURE IS MIXED by Darel E. Paul, First Things website
- ↑ Ed Stetzer: The Church of 2030, Outreach Magazine, 2023
- ↑ To America With Love: Why U.S. Christianity’s Resurgence Will Come From Immigrants, Wheaton College, Billy Graham Center, 2023
- ↑ Where do US immigrants come from?, USA Facts website, 2023
- ↑ Censo de Población y Vivienda 2020 – Cuestionario básico". INEGI. Retrieved May 18, 2022.]
- ↑ Censo de Población y Vivienda 2020 – Cuestionario básico". INEGI. Retrieved May 18, 2022.]
- ↑ Where do US immigrants come from?, USA Facts website, 2023
- ↑ London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
- ↑ 97% of the world's population growth is taking place in the developing world, where 95% of people are religious, Tuesday, April 30, 2013
- ↑ London: A Rising Island of Religion in a Secular Sea by Eric Kaufmann, Huffington Post, 2012
- ↑ Shall the Religious Inherit the Earth?: Demography and Politics in the Twenty-First Century by Eric Kaufmann
- ↑ Why so many Africans are religious: Leo Igwe
- ↑ Africa’s population boom: burden or opportunity?, Institute For Security Studies
- ↑ Eric Kaufmann - Religion, Demography and Politics in the 21st Century
