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March 9, 2025
June 16, 2024
February 18, 2024
November 6, 2022
RealClearPolitics predicted for more than a month a GOP win that ''FiveThirtyEight'' did not predict until the final week.
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2020 presidential election
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In the 2022 midterm elections, ''FiveThirtyEight'' long predicted a Democrat win of control of the U.S. Senate, and only in the last month prior to the election began to incrementally increase the chances of a GOP victory until, merely a w
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The site wrongly predicted that Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump in 2016. Its predictions seem to be left-leaning and its audience is probably mostly liberal. It is most useful as a "worst-case" type of prediction, rather than as a
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