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|6
 
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|Toss-up
 
|Colorado
 
|Colorado
 
|9%
 
|9%
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|Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state.  Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely.
 
|Elected a Republican for both governor and Senate in the 2010 midterm elections; however, Governor [[Rick Scott]] is currently (Dec. 2011) very unpopular in the state.  Obama's approval in the state is below 50% and without Florida his reelection is unlikely.
 
|29
 
|29
−
|-
  −
|Leaning Democratic
  −
|Wisconsin
  −
|13.9%
  −
|Elected Republicans to the state legislature, governor's office, and Senate in 2010. Despite much complaining by Democrats and their [[labor union]] allies, they failed to recall enough republican legislators for a majority, failed to defeat Justice David Prosser in the Supreme Court election.  The final blow that put Wisconsin in play for the 2012 election was when Governor Scott Walker defeated his recall election by a wider margin than he was originally elected in 2010. 
  −
|10
   
|-
 
|-
 
|Leaning Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue.
 
|Leaning Republican win due to [[same-sex marriage]] issue.
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|A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process.
 
|A recent special election for the state's 2nd congressional district was predicted to be competitive but resulted in a decisive victory for [[Republican]] [[Mark Amodei]]. [[Harry Reid]] won reelection in 2010 despite [[Tea Party]] opposition, but this may have been due to discrepancies and corruption in the voting process.
 
|6
 
|6
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|-
  −
|Leaning Democratic
  −
|New Hampshire
  −
|9.6%
  −
|Romney has some roots here and was governor of nearby Massachusetts
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|4
   
|}
 
|}
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|Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state.
 
|Mitt Romney, though not ideal for the average conservative, grew up in Michigan and could put it into play. His father, [[George Romney]], served as governor of the state.
 
|16
 
|16
 +
|-
 +
|Leaning Democratic
 +
|New Hampshire
 +
|9.6%
 +
|Romney has some roots here and was governor of nearby Massachusetts
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|4
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|-
 +
|New Mexico
 +
|15%
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|
 +
|5
 
|-
 
|-
 
|Pennsylvania
 
|Pennsylvania
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|20
 
|20
 
|-
 
|-
−
|New Mexico
+
|Leaning Democratic
−
|15%
+
|Wisconsin
−
|
+
|13.9%
−
|5
+
|Elected Republicans to the state legislature, governor's office, and Senate in 2010. Despite much complaining by Democrats and their [[labor union]] allies, they failed to recall enough republican legislators for a majority, failed to defeat Justice David Prosser in the Supreme Court election.  The final blow that put Wisconsin in play for the 2012 election was when Governor Scott Walker defeated his recall election by a wider margin than he was originally elected in 2010. 
 +
|10
 
|}
 
|}
  
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